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TSLA · 1h · posted 2026-09-16 19:30 UTC
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TSLA · these odds carry no usable signal 1,770 tests, 27% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.197, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0023), and their calibration slope is -0.09 (95% -0.36 to 0.26) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 371.8684–377.1604 (+3.8%) | 3.7 | 1.4% | 48m | 14.4d ago · 46× | 16% ±16 | 23% ±11 | 30% ±12 | 47% ±13 | 54 | 3% ±3 | 16% ±16 | 34% ±35 | 56% ±56 | 6.1d | 1.74% | 2.50% | 126 → 3 | |
| 30D VAH · 14D VAH | 369.2224–369.9704 (+3.1%) | 2.9 | 4.4% | 6h | 4.4d ago · 52× | 15% ±11 | 31% ±12 | 31% ±12 | 38% ±12 | 58 | 3% ±2 | 15% ±11 | 28% ±24 | 44% ±40 | > 7d | 1.73% | 1.56% | 240 → 6 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC · 7D VAH | 365.3442–366.6328 (+2.0%) | 1.9 | 8.9% | 13h | 1.5d ago · 81× | 28% ±13 | 32% ±9 | 39% ±10 | 29% ±9 | 96 | 10% ±4 | 29% ±14 | 47% ±26 | 62% ±39 | 4.6d | 1.79% | 1.01% | 257 → 6 | |
| HVN zone | 362.3428–367.1056 (+1.2%) | 1.1 | 7.7% | 9h | 4.6d ago · 61× | 62% ±17 | 31% ±10 | 41% ±11 | 28% ±10 | 82 | 37% ±7 | 62% ±17 | 74% ±27 | 82% ±38 | 21h | 1.68% | 0.92% | 183 → 4 | |
| 7D VAL | 358.7496 (+0.2%) | 0.2 | 7.0% | 7h | 5.6d ago · 52× | 82% ±23 | 22% ±11 | 44% ±13 | 35% ±13 | 52 | 64% ±12 | 83% ±22 | 94% ±23 | 99% ±17 | 1h | 1.69% | 1.35% | 67 → 2 | |
| at post · 358.13 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAL · 30D POC | 353.0818–354.5921 (-1.0%) | 0.9 | 7.6% | 13h | 5.6d ago · 58× | 56% ±17 | 27% ±10 | 34% ±11 | 38% ±11 | 76 | 37% ±7 | 56% ±17 | 72% ±27 | 84% ±32 | 1.2d | 1.67% | 1.32% | 205 → 5 | |
| 30D VAL | 350.7004 (-2.1%) | 2.0 | 3.7% | 6h | 6.4d ago · 44× | 38% ±21 | 27% ±12 | 44% ±13 | 29% ±12 | 52 | 11% ±6 | 37% ±21 | 59% ±36 | 79% ±46 | 2.0d | 1.76% | 1.04% | 122 → 3 | |
| LVN zone | 337.9996–340.6456 (-4.9%) | 4.6 | 0.5% | 1h | 11.6d ago · 36× | 6% ±10 | 21% ±13 | 28% ±15 | 51% ±16 | 36 | 1% ±1 | 6% ±10 | 18% ±27 | 35% ±54 | > 7d | 1.63% | 1.94% | 139 → 3 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.