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TSLA · 1h · posted 2026-09-17 19:30 UTC
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TSLA · these odds carry no usable signal 1,770 tests, 27% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.197, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0023), and their calibration slope is -0.09 (95% -0.36 to 0.26) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 373.8886–379.206 (+2.1%) | 1.9 | 1.4% | 39m | 14.4d ago · 46× | 41% ±23 | 23% ±11 | 30% ±12 | 47% ±13 | 54 | 16% ±7 | 42% ±23 | 68% ±37 | 86% ±49 | 1.9d | 1.74% | 2.50% | 104 → 2 | |
| 14D POC · 7D POC · 7D VAH · 30D VAH · 14D VAH | 366.1538–369.41 (+0.0%) | 0.0 | 11.1% | 17h | 1.5d ago · 81× | 65% ±17 | 32% ±9 | 37% ±10 | 31% ±9 | 97 | 49% ±7 | 65% ±17 | 74% ±27 | 81% ±38 | 13h | 1.78% | 1.18% | 181 → 4 | |
| at post · 366.04 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D POC | 365.9125 (-0.0%) | 0.0 | 10.9% | 17h | 5.5d ago · 45× | 70% ±27 | 33% ±14 | 29% ±13 | 39% ±14 | 46 | 51% ±12 | 70% ±27 | 76% ±42 | 81% ±54 | 2h | 1.50% | 1.26% | 68 → 2 | |
| 7D VAL · 14D VAL | 357.5913–358.6661 (-2.0%) | 1.8 | 7.5% | 8h | 7.5d ago · 79× | 38% ±15 | 24% ±8 | 41% ±10 | 35% ±9 | 100 | 14% ±5 | 38% ±15 | 57% ±27 | 74% ±38 | 1.9d | 1.73% | 1.19% | 229 → 5 | |
| HVN zone | 351.6522–357.9364 (-2.2%) | 1.9 | 7.5% | 9h | 5.3d ago · 68× | 39% ±20 | 31% ±10 | 34% ±10 | 34% ±10 | 84 | 17% ±6 | 39% ±20 | 63% ±33 | 70% ±52 | 2.0d | 1.72% | 1.14% | 135 → 3 | |
| 30D VAL | 351.1688 (-4.1%) | 3.6 | 4.8% | 9h | 6.3d ago · 44× | 14% ±13 | 27% ±12 | 44% ±13 | 29% ±12 | 52 | 3% ±3 | 13% ±13 | 36% ±31 | 56% ±49 | 5.8d | 1.76% | 1.04% | 163 → 4 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.