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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-09-19 17:00 UTC
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ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,407 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0035), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.23 to 0.46) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at post · 2,644.31 | |||||||||||||||||||
| LVN zone | 2,585.51–2,603.66 (-1.5%) | 2.3 | 0.6% | 2h | 13.8d ago · 46× | 52% ±16 | 53% ±14 | 11% ±8 | 36% ±13 | 52 | 18% ±5 | 52% ±16 | 65% ±26 | 70% ±37 | 23h | 2.34% | 1.73% | 232 → 6 | |
| 7D VAH · 14D VAH · 30D VAH · 7D POC · 30D POC | 2,507.47–2,525.48 (-4.5%) | 6.6 | 2.9% | 22h | 1.2d ago · 106× | 13% ±7 | 50% ±8 | 9% ±4 | 41% ±8 | 158 | 2% ±1 | 13% ±7 | 35% ±18 | 53% ±28 | 5.5d | 1.99% | 1.48% | 483 → 12 | |
| HVN zone | 2,433.06–2,520.18 (-4.7%) | 6.9 | 4.1% | 1.3d | 2.1d ago · 84× | 12% ±7 | 48% ±9 | 23% ±7 | 29% ±8 | 132 | 1% ±1 | 12% ±7 | 30% ±16 | 42% ±27 | > 7d | 1.91% | 1.51% | 546 → 13 | |
| 14D POC | 2,492.72 (-5.7%) | 8.4 | 6.7% | 2.3d | 1.7d ago · 84× | 9% ±6 | 48% ±9 | 14% ±6 | 38% ±9 | 122 | 1% ±1 | 9% ±6 | 26% ±16 | 47% ±27 | > 7d | 1.86% | 1.57% | 531 → 13 | |
| 30D VAL · 14D VAL | 2,400.68–2,407.65 (-8.9%) | 13 | 4.2% | 1.1d | 4.6d ago · 58× | 2% ±2 | 50% ±11 | 5% ±5 | 45% ±11 | 77 | 0% ±0 | 2% ±2 | 12% ±8 | 27% ±17 | > 7d | 2.45% | 1.61% | 1120 → 27 | |
| 7D VAL | 2,385.08 (-9.8%) | 14 | 2.8% | 13h | 4.4d ago · 84× | 4% ±4 | 57% ±9 | 7% ±5 | 36% ±9 | 119 | 1% ±1 | 4% ±4 | 13% ±11 | 26% ±22 | > 7d | 2.27% | 1.31% | 625 → 15 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.