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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-09-20 09:00 UTC
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ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,407 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0035), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.23 to 0.46) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 2,584.25–2,612.5 (+0.2%) | 0.3 | 0.7% | 3h | 10.3d ago · 49× | 74% ±18 | 61% ±13 | 8% ±7 | 31% ±12 | 58 | 54% ±8 | 75% ±18 | 84% ±25 | 91% ±33 | 2h | 3.16% | 1.24% | 136 → 3 | |
| at post · 2,578.85 | |||||||||||||||||||
| LVN zone | 2,549.73–2,559.14 (-0.8%) | 1.3 | 0.6% | 1h | 13.8d ago · 46× | 69% ±16 | 54% ±13 | 11% ±8 | 36% ±13 | 53 | 37% ±7 | 70% ±15 | 79% ±24 | 83% ±33 | 9h | 2.35% | 1.68% | 203 → 5 | |
| 7D VAH | 2,534.84 (-1.7%) | 2.8 | 1.7% | 11h | 2.1d ago · 64× | 47% ±15 | 46% ±11 | 4% ±4 | 50% ±11 | 77 | 12% ±4 | 47% ±15 | 68% ±24 | 82% ±31 | 1.3d | 1.70% | 2.11% | 249 → 6 | |
| 14D VAH · 30D VAH | 2,524.62–2,525.48 (-2.1%) | 3.5 | 2.6% | 19h | 4.6d ago · 55× | 34% ±14 | 48% ±12 | 11% ±8 | 41% ±12 | 65 | 7% ±3 | 34% ±14 | 62% ±25 | 77% ±34 | 2.0d | 1.93% | 1.73% | 253 → 6 | |
| HVN zone | 2,439.87–2,518.34 (-2.3%) | 3.9 | 4.1% | 1.2d | 2.1d ago · 84× | 32% ±10 | 48% ±9 | 23% ±7 | 29% ±8 | 132 | 7% ±2 | 32% ±10 | 59% ±18 | 69% ±25 | 1.9d | 1.91% | 1.51% | 532 → 13 | |
| 30D POC · 14D POC | 2,492.72–2,497.94 (-3.1%) | 5.2 | 6.0% | 1.8d | 1.7d ago · 84× | 25% ±9 | 51% ±9 | 12% ±6 | 37% ±9 | 122 | 4% ±2 | 25% ±9 | 49% ±18 | 67% ±26 | 3.1d | 1.99% | 1.37% | 538 → 13 | |
| 30D VAL | 2,414.76 (-6.4%) | 11 | 3.6% | 23h | 20.4d ago · 30× | 3% ±3 | 54% ±15 | 4% ±6 | 42% ±14 | 45 | 0% ±0 | 3% ±3 | 14% ±9 | 29% ±17 | > 7d | 2.94% | 1.37% | 1075 → 26 | |
| 7D POC | 2,402.24 (-6.8%) | 11 | 3.3% | 22h | 1.2d ago · 106× | 3% ±4 | 52% ±8 | 9% ±4 | 40% ±8 | 158 | 1% ±1 | 3% ±4 | 16% ±16 | 40% ±34 | > 7d | 2.08% | 1.22% | 333 → 8 | |
| 14D VAL | 2,394.44 (-7.2%) | 12 | 3.1% | 19h | 4.6d ago · 58× | 4% ±3 | 48% ±11 | 5% ±5 | 48% ±11 | 77 | 0% ±0 | 4% ±3 | 18% ±10 | 37% ±20 | > 7d | 2.16% | 1.75% | 982 → 23 | |
| 7D VAL | 2,372.6 (-8.0%) | 13 | 1.1% | 4h | 4.4d ago · 84× | 5% ±4 | 57% ±9 | 7% ±5 | 36% ±9 | 119 | 1% ±1 | 5% ±4 | 15% ±11 | 28% ±21 | > 7d | 2.27% | 1.31% | 700 → 17 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.