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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-09-21 01:00 UTC
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ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,405 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0036), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.21 to 0.48) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at post · 2,648.1 | |||||||||||||||||||
| LVN zone | 2,591.55–2,602.14 (-1.7%) | 1.9 | 1.0% | 3h | 13.5d ago · 46× | 57% ±17 | 54% ±13 | 11% ±8 | 36% ±13 | 53 | 22% ±6 | 58% ±16 | 71% ±26 | 75% ±38 | 17h | 2.35% | 1.68% | 211 → 5 | |
| 7D VAH | 2,574.62 (-2.8%) | 3.1 | 1.5% | 11h | 1.8d ago · 64× | 43% ±15 | 46% ±11 | 4% ±4 | 50% ±11 | 77 | 10% ±4 | 43% ±15 | 64% ±25 | 79% ±33 | 1.4d | 1.70% | 2.11% | 259 → 6 | |
| 14D VAH | 2,539.52 (-4.1%) | 4.6 | 1.8% | 10h | 10.9d ago · 55× | 22% ±12 | 56% ±12 | 7% ±6 | 37% ±12 | 65 | 2% ±2 | 22% ±12 | 50% ±25 | 64% ±36 | 3.0d | 2.15% | 1.89% | 278 → 7 | |
| 30D VAH | 2,520.97 (-4.8%) | 5.4 | 5.0% | 1.6d | 4.4d ago · 38× | 13% ±10 | 38% ±14 | 16% ±10 | 46% ±14 | 47 | 1% ±1 | 13% ±10 | 39% ±25 | 58% ±40 | 5.8d | 1.63% | 1.50% | 265 → 6 | |
| HVN zone | 2,432.75–2,520.97 (-4.8%) | 5.4 | 5.0% | 1.6d | 1.8d ago · 84× | 22% ±8 | 48% ±9 | 23% ±7 | 29% ±8 | 132 | 4% ±2 | 22% ±8 | 44% ±17 | 55% ±26 | 4.8d | 1.91% | 1.51% | 583 → 14 | |
| 30D POC | 2,498.04 (-5.7%) | 6.3 | 9.3% | 2.8d | 1.4d ago · 72× | 21% ±9 | 54% ±10 | 9% ±6 | 37% ±10 | 95 | 3% ±2 | 21% ±9 | 44% ±19 | 62% ±29 | 4.1d | 2.14% | 1.12% | 475 → 11 | |
| 14D POC | 2,485.12 (-6.2%) | 6.9 | 8.7% | 2.8d | 1.4d ago · 84× | 17% ±8 | 48% ±9 | 14% ±6 | 38% ±9 | 122 | 2% ±1 | 17% ±8 | 35% ±17 | 57% ±27 | 5.6d | 1.86% | 1.57% | 538 → 13 | |
| 30D VAL · 7D POC · 14D VAL | 2,388.59–2,408.05 (-9.1%) | 10 | 4.9% | 1.3d | 1.4d ago · 106× | 4% ±3 | 51% ±8 | 7% ±4 | 42% ±8 | 158 | 0% ±0 | 4% ±3 | 18% ±10 | 37% ±19 | > 7d | 2.24% | 1.39% | 1068 → 25 | |
| 7D VAL | 2,364.02 (-10.7%) | 12 | 0.6% | 2h | 4.1d ago · 84× | 5% ±4 | 57% ±9 | 7% ±5 | 36% ±9 | 119 | 1% ±1 | 5% ±4 | 16% ±11 | 32% ±22 | > 7d | 2.27% | 1.31% | 770 → 18 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.