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BTC · 1h · posted 2026-09-21 01:00 UTC
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BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,469 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0010), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.41 to 0.04) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at post · 80,964.3 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D VAH | 79,849.58 (-1.4%) | 2.8 | 2.8% | 1.2d | 5.7d ago · 36× | 52% ±17 | 44% ±14 | 10% ±9 | 46% ±14 | 47 | 11% ±4 | 51% ±17 | 82% ±22 | 91% ±25 | 23h | 1.52% | 0.91% | 203 → 5 | |
| 14D VAH · 7D VAH | 79,223.7–79,367.51 (-2.0%) | 4.0 | 3.5% | 21h | 1.1d ago · 72× | 32% ±14 | 45% ±11 | 10% ±7 | 45% ±11 | 80 | 5% ±3 | 32% ±14 | 61% ±26 | 74% ±35 | 2.2d | 1.27% | 1.00% | 259 → 6 | |
| HVN zone | 78,301.16–79,112.24 (-2.3%) | 4.6 | 4.3% | 1.0d | 1.5d ago · 98× | 28% ±9 | 55% ±8 | 18% ±6 | 27% ±7 | 149 | 4% ±2 | 28% ±9 | 51% ±17 | 69% ±23 | 2.8d | 1.42% | 0.94% | 613 → 15 | |
| 30D POC · 14D POC | 77,174.41–77,232.02 (-4.6%) | 9.3 | 6.0% | 3.0d | 4.4d ago · 84× | 6% ±5 | 47% ±9 | 11% ±6 | 42% ±9 | 112 | 0% ±1 | 6% ±5 | 24% ±16 | 42% ±28 | > 7d | 1.32% | 0.96% | 517 → 12 | |
| 30D VAL · 7D POC | 76,455.36–76,605.28 (-5.4%) | 11 | 2.9% | 19h | 3.3d ago · 114× | 5% ±3 | 46% ±8 | 8% ±4 | 46% ±8 | 151 | 1% ±0 | 5% ±3 | 17% ±10 | 31% ±19 | > 7d | 1.30% | 1.06% | 1011 → 24 | |
| LVN zone | 76,015.41–76,089.14 (-6.0%) | 12 | 1.5% | 7h | 6.9d ago · 46× | 4% ±5 | 41% ±13 | 12% ±8 | 47% ±13 | 56 | 0% ±1 | 4% ±5 | 8% ±11 | 15% ±24 | > 7d | 1.21% | 1.22% | 386 → 9 | |
| 14D VAL | 75,987.97 (-6.1%) | 12 | 1.5% | 9h | 19.8d ago · 56× | 3% ±2 | 43% ±11 | 6% ±6 | 51% ±11 | 74 | 0% ±0 | 3% ±2 | 12% ±8 | 27% ±17 | > 7d | 1.26% | 1.33% | 1032 → 25 | |
| 7D VAL | 74,981.31 (-7.4%) | 15 | 0.1% | 7m | 5.9d ago · 99× | 4% ±4 | 55% ±9 | 6% ±4 | 40% ±9 | 123 | 1% ±1 | 4% ±4 | 17% ±14 | 34% ±26 | > 7d | 1.47% | 1.25% | 529 → 13 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.