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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-09-21 13:00 UTC
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ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,405 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0036), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.21 to 0.48) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at post · 2,731.22 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAH | 2,603.71 (-4.7%) | 4.5 | 1.2% | 4h | 1.8d ago · 64× | 22% ±12 | 46% ±11 | 4% ±4 | 50% ±11 | 77 | 4% ±2 | 22% ±12 | 46% ±24 | 63% ±36 | 3.5d | 1.70% | 2.11% | 294 → 7 | |
| 14D VAH | 2,552.8 (-6.5%) | 6.3 | 1.2% | 3h | 10.9d ago · 55× | 13% ±9 | 56% ±12 | 7% ±6 | 37% ±12 | 65 | 1% ±1 | 13% ±9 | 36% ±23 | 52% ±37 | 6.0d | 2.15% | 1.89% | 305 → 7 | |
| 30D VAH | 2,524.32 (-7.6%) | 7.3 | 4.7% | 1.5d | 4.4d ago · 38× | 7% ±7 | 38% ±14 | 16% ±10 | 46% ±14 | 47 | 1% ±1 | 7% ±7 | 27% ±22 | 41% ±36 | > 7d | 1.63% | 1.50% | 288 → 7 | |
| HVN zone | 2,429.88–2,520.38 (-7.7%) | 7.4 | 6.0% | 1.9d | 1.8d ago · 84× | 10% ±6 | 48% ±9 | 23% ±7 | 29% ±8 | 132 | 1% ±1 | 10% ±6 | 26% ±16 | 38% ±26 | > 7d | 1.91% | 1.51% | 533 → 13 | |
| 30D POC | 2,506.61 (-8.2%) | 7.9 | 10.8% | 3.3d | 1.4d ago · 72× | 13% ±7 | 54% ±10 | 9% ±6 | 37% ±10 | 95 | 2% ±1 | 13% ±7 | 34% ±18 | 51% ±28 | 6.6d | 2.14% | 1.12% | 508 → 12 | |
| 14D POC | 2,472.52 (-9.5%) | 9.1 | 10.3% | 3.3d | 1.4d ago · 84× | 7% ±5 | 48% ±9 | 14% ±6 | 38% ±9 | 122 | 1% ±1 | 7% ±5 | 21% ±15 | 42% ±27 | > 7d | 1.86% | 1.57% | 536 → 13 | |
| 30D VAL · 7D POC | 2,402.03–2,406.27 (-11.9%) | 11 | 5.4% | 1.5d | 1.4d ago · 106× | 3% ±2 | 52% ±8 | 8% ±4 | 40% ±8 | 158 | 0% ±0 | 3% ±2 | 14% ±9 | 30% ±18 | > 7d | 2.27% | 1.25% | 1112 → 26 | |
| 14D VAL · 7D VAL | 2,364.83–2,376.58 (-13.0%) | 12 | 2.0% | 8h | 4.1d ago · 84× | 4% ±3 | 53% ±9 | 6% ±4 | 41% ±9 | 119 | 0% ±0 | 4% ±3 | 16% ±10 | 33% ±19 | > 7d | 2.23% | 1.48% | 975 → 23 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.