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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-09-22 09:00 UTC
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ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,404 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0037), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.23 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at post · 2,749.85 | |||||||||||||||||||
| LVN zone | 2,666.75–2,716.43 (-1.2%) | 1.4 | 0.7% | 3h | 13.4d ago · 46× | 67% ±15 | 53% ±13 | 11% ±8 | 37% ±13 | 54 | 33% ±6 | 67% ±15 | 77% ±24 | 81% ±34 | 10h | 2.37% | 1.67% | 217 → 5 | |
| 7D VAH | 2,640.35 (-4.0%) | 4.6 | 1.5% | 14h | 1.7d ago · 64× | 20% ±11 | 46% ±11 | 4% ±4 | 50% ±11 | 77 | 4% ±2 | 20% ±11 | 44% ±24 | 61% ±36 | 3.7d | 1.70% | 2.11% | 297 → 7 | |
| 14D VAH | 2,586.38 (-5.9%) | 6.8 | 1.1% | 6h | 10.8d ago · 55× | 12% ±9 | 56% ±12 | 7% ±6 | 37% ±12 | 65 | 1% ±1 | 11% ±9 | 34% ±22 | 49% ±37 | > 7d | 2.15% | 1.89% | 298 → 7 | |
| 30D VAH · 14D POC | 2,512.17–2,522.23 (-8.3%) | 9.5 | 4.3% | 1.4d | 1.3d ago · 84× | 4% ±4 | 45% ±9 | 15% ±6 | 40% ±9 | 122 | 1% ±1 | 4% ±4 | 17% ±14 | 34% ±26 | > 7d | 1.80% | 1.55% | 538 → 13 | |
| HVN zone | 2,427.38–2,522.23 (-8.3%) | 9.5 | 4.3% | 1.4d | 1.7d ago · 84× | 6% ±5 | 48% ±9 | 23% ±7 | 29% ±8 | 132 | 1% ±1 | 6% ±5 | 18% ±14 | 30% ±26 | > 7d | 1.91% | 1.51% | 498 → 12 | |
| 30D POC | 2,492.87 (-9.3%) | 11 | 9.0% | 3.0d | 1.3d ago · 72× | 5% ±4 | 54% ±10 | 9% ±6 | 37% ±10 | 95 | 0% ±0 | 5% ±4 | 18% ±13 | 33% ±26 | > 7d | 2.14% | 1.12% | 553 → 13 | |
| 7D POC · 30D VAL | 2,395.77–2,399.73 (-12.7%) | 15 | 4.0% | 1.1d | 1.3d ago · 106× | 2% ±2 | 52% ±8 | 8% ±4 | 40% ±8 | 158 | 0% ±0 | 2% ±2 | 9% ±7 | 24% ±16 | > 7d | 2.27% | 1.25% | 1113 → 27 | |
| 14D VAL | 2,379.49 (-13.5%) | 15 | 1.7% | 8h | 4.2d ago · 58× | 1% ±2 | 48% ±11 | 5% ±5 | 48% ±11 | 77 | 0% ±0 | 1% ±2 | 10% ±9 | 25% ±19 | > 7d | 2.16% | 1.75% | 854 → 20 | |
| 7D VAL | 2,357 (-14.3%) | 16 | 0.2% | 27m | 4.0d ago · 84× | 3% ±4 | 57% ±9 | 7% ±5 | 36% ±9 | 119 | 0% ±1 | 3% ±4 | 10% ±11 | 22% ±24 | > 7d | 2.27% | 1.31% | 506 → 12 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.