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BTC · 1h · posted 2026-09-23 13:00 UTC
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BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,467 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.42 to 0.06) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH | 86,890.7 (+1.3%) | 2.3 | 0.3% | 2h | 1.3d ago · 89× | 46% ±10 | 49% ±9 | 8% ±5 | 43% ±9 | 117 | 14% ±3 | 47% ±10 | 69% ±17 | 79% ±22 | 1.3d | 1.38% | 1.02% | 536 → 13 | |
| at post · 85,755.1 | |||||||||||||||||||
| LVN zone | 84,266.18–84,640.45 (-1.3%) | 2.3 | 0.3% | 59m | 6.8d ago · 46× | 46% ±17 | 41% ±13 | 12% ±8 | 47% ±13 | 56 | 15% ±5 | 46% ±17 | 70% ±27 | 81% ±34 | 1.3d | 1.21% | 1.22% | 198 → 5 | |
| 14D VAH · 7D POC | 81,143.25–81,147.25 (-5.4%) | 9.5 | 3.3% | 1.2d | 1.3d ago · 114× | 7% ±6 | 46% ±8 | 9% ±5 | 45% ±8 | 151 | 1% ±1 | 7% ±6 | 31% ±19 | 48% ±31 | 6.3d | 1.27% | 0.95% | 401 → 10 | |
| 30D VAH | 80,523.47 (-6.1%) | 11 | 2.4% | 12h | 5.6d ago · 36× | 4% ±7 | 44% ±14 | 10% ±9 | 46% ±14 | 47 | 1% ±1 | 4% ±6 | 15% ±20 | 38% ±43 | > 7d | 1.52% | 0.91% | 221 → 5 | |
| 7D VAL | 79,969.04 (-6.7%) | 12 | 2.5% | 23h | 5.8d ago · 99× | 5% ±4 | 55% ±9 | 6% ±4 | 40% ±9 | 123 | 1% ±1 | 5% ±4 | 20% ±12 | 39% ±23 | > 7d | 1.47% | 1.25% | 729 → 17 | |
| HVN zone | 76,780.75–79,899.68 (-6.8%) | 12 | 2.9% | 1.2d | 1.4d ago · 98× | 7% ±6 | 55% ±8 | 18% ±6 | 27% ±7 | 149 | 1% ±1 | 7% ±6 | 28% ±19 | 46% ±33 | > 7d | 1.42% | 0.94% | 398 → 9 | |
| 30D POC | 78,839.25 (-8.1%) | 14 | 5.9% | 1.9d | 4.3d ago · 62× | 3% ±4 | 49% ±10 | 11% ±6 | 40% ±10 | 91 | 0% ±0 | 3% ±4 | 11% ±13 | 42% ±31 | > 7d | 1.53% | 0.97% | 439 → 10 | |
| 14D POC | 77,217.4 (-10.0%) | 18 | 5.1% | 2.6d | 4.3d ago · 84× | 1% ±2 | 46% ±9 | 10% ±6 | 43% ±9 | 112 | 0% ±1 | 1% ±2 | 11% ±15 | 23% ±31 | > 7d | 1.16% | 0.95% | 285 → 7 | |
| 30D VAL | 76,281.73 (-11.0%) | 20 | 1.9% | 12h | 19.2d ago · 37× | 1% ±2 | 46% ±13 | 8% ±7 | 46% ±13 | 58 | 0% ±0 | 1% ±2 | 6% ±6 | 16% ±14 | > 7d | 1.41% | 1.28% | 990 → 24 | |
| 14D VAL | 74,909.4 (-12.6%) | 22 | <0.1% | 3m | 19.7d ago · 56× | 1% ±2 | 43% ±11 | 6% ±6 | 51% ±11 | 74 | 0% ±0 | 1% ±2 | 9% ±10 | 19% ±21 | > 7d | 1.26% | 1.33% | 568 → 14 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.