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BTC · 1h · posted 2026-09-23 21:00 UTC
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BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,470 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.39 to 0.13) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH | 86,325.23 (+2.3%) | 3.5 | 1.5% | 11h | 1.4d ago · 89× | 31% ±8 | 49% ±9 | 8% ±5 | 43% ±9 | 117 | 5% ±2 | 31% ±8 | 59% ±15 | 74% ±20 | 2.0d | 1.38% | 1.02% | 774 → 18 | |
| at post · 84,372.9 | |||||||||||||||||||
| LVN zone | 81,771.04–83,891.9 (-0.6%) | 0.9 | 0.7% | 1h | 7.1d ago · 46× | 77% ±15 | 41% ±13 | 12% ±8 | 47% ±13 | 56 | 51% ±7 | 77% ±15 | 91% ±18 | 97% ±18 | 4h | 1.21% | 1.22% | 179 → 4 | |
| 14D VAH | 81,521.52 (-3.4%) | 5.0 | 1.4% | 10h | 1.3d ago · 58× | 29% ±14 | 44% ±12 | 10% ±7 | 46% ±12 | 65 | 4% ±2 | 29% ±14 | 57% ±26 | 68% ±37 | 2.3d | 1.29% | 0.91% | 260 → 6 | |
| 7D POC | 81,202.54 (-3.8%) | 5.6 | 3.6% | 1.3d | 3.5d ago · 114× | 19% ±9 | 46% ±8 | 8% ±4 | 45% ±8 | 151 | 2% ±1 | 19% ±9 | 50% ±19 | 68% ±28 | 3.1d | 1.26% | 0.97% | 477 → 11 | |
| 30D VAH | 80,772.98 (-4.3%) | 6.4 | 2.9% | 14h | 5.8d ago · 36× | 20% ±12 | 44% ±14 | 10% ±9 | 46% ±14 | 47 | 3% ±2 | 20% ±12 | 41% ±26 | 58% ±40 | 4.8d | 1.52% | 0.91% | 258 → 6 | |
| 7D VAL | 79,966.03 (-5.2%) | 7.8 | 2.8% | 1.1d | 6.1d ago · 99× | 12% ±5 | 55% ±9 | 6% ±4 | 40% ±9 | 123 | 1% ±1 | 12% ±5 | 30% ±12 | 48% ±20 | > 7d | 1.47% | 1.25% | 961 → 23 | |
| HVN zone | 76,656–79,774.92 (-5.4%) | 8.1 | 4.0% | 1.8d | 1.7d ago · 98× | 13% ±7 | 55% ±8 | 18% ±6 | 27% ±7 | 149 | 1% ±1 | 13% ±7 | 37% ±17 | 57% ±27 | 5.3d | 1.42% | 0.94% | 555 → 13 | |
| 14D POC · 30D POC | 77,217.4 (-8.5%) | 13 | 5.9% | 2.9d | 4.6d ago · 84× | 3% ±4 | 47% ±9 | 11% ±6 | 42% ±9 | 112 | 0% ±0 | 3% ±4 | 14% ±13 | 35% ±28 | > 7d | 1.32% | 0.96% | 462 → 11 | |
| 30D VAL | 76,281.73 (-9.6%) | 14 | 2.3% | 14h | 19.4d ago · 37× | 2% ±2 | 46% ±13 | 8% ±7 | 46% ±13 | 58 | 0% ±0 | 2% ±2 | 10% ±7 | 21% ±16 | > 7d | 1.41% | 1.28% | 1105 → 26 | |
| 14D VAL | 74,909.4 (-11.2%) | 17 | 0.1% | 5m | 19.9d ago · 56× | 1% ±2 | 43% ±11 | 6% ±6 | 51% ±11 | 74 | 0% ±0 | 1% ±2 | 10% ±8 | 24% ±19 | > 7d | 1.26% | 1.33% | 829 → 20 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.