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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-09-24 05:00 UTC
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ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,404 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0037), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.23 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH | 2,776.34 (+3.5%) | 4.5 | 0.5% | 4h | 1.5d ago · 97× | 27% ±7 | 52% ±9 | 4% ±4 | 43% ±9 | 119 | 4% ±1 | 27% ±7 | 49% ±13 | 69% ±18 | 3.1d | 2.27% | 1.61% | 1015 → 24 | |
| 7D POC | 2,744.02 (+2.3%) | 3.0 | 1.9% | 12h | 3.0d ago · 103× | 38% ±11 | 46% ±8 | 8% ±5 | 46% ±8 | 141 | 8% ±3 | 38% ±11 | 61% ±20 | 74% ±27 | 1.7d | 2.08% | 1.45% | 437 → 10 | |
| at post · 2,681.39 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAH | 2,644.85 (-1.4%) | 1.7 | 1.3% | 8h | 10.9d ago · 55× | 66% ±15 | 56% ±12 | 7% ±6 | 37% ±12 | 65 | 27% ±6 | 66% ±15 | 80% ±23 | 83% ±33 | 13h | 2.15% | 1.89% | 221 → 5 | |
| LVN zone | 2,589.97–2,603.52 (-2.9%) | 3.7 | 0.9% | 3h | 13.4d ago · 46× | 35% ±14 | 53% ±13 | 10% ±8 | 36% ±13 | 55 | 7% ±3 | 35% ±14 | 54% ±25 | 56% ±37 | 2.2d | 2.38% | 1.67% | 278 → 7 | |
| 7D VAL | 2,597.63 (-3.1%) | 4.0 | 0.8% | 2h | 4.0d ago · 84× | 28% ±7 | 57% ±9 | 7% ±5 | 36% ±9 | 119 | 5% ±1 | 28% ±7 | 52% ±13 | 63% ±20 | 2.8d | 2.27% | 1.31% | 981 → 23 | |
| 30D VAH | 2,535.78 (-5.4%) | 7.0 | 1.9% | 13h | 4.3d ago · 38× | 7% ±7 | 38% ±14 | 16% ±10 | 46% ±14 | 47 | 1% ±1 | 7% ±7 | 26% ±21 | 41% ±36 | > 7d | 1.63% | 1.50% | 300 → 7 | |
| HVN zone | 2,431.9–2,522.23 (-5.9%) | 7.6 | 3.5% | 1.2d | 1.7d ago · 84× | 9% ±6 | 48% ±9 | 23% ±7 | 29% ±8 | 132 | 1% ±1 | 9% ±6 | 25% ±15 | 37% ±26 | > 7d | 1.91% | 1.51% | 544 → 13 | |
| 14D POC · 30D POC | 2,506.42–2,512.17 (-6.3%) | 8.1 | 6.7% | 2.2d | 1.3d ago · 84× | 11% ±6 | 51% ±9 | 12% ±6 | 37% ±9 | 122 | 1% ±1 | 11% ±6 | 29% ±16 | 48% ±27 | > 7d | 1.99% | 1.37% | 559 → 13 | |
| 30D VAL · 14D VAL | 2,379.49–2,386.73 (-11.0%) | 14 | 2.3% | 13h | 4.2d ago · 58× | 2% ±2 | 50% ±11 | 5% ±5 | 45% ±11 | 77 | 0% ±0 | 2% ±2 | 11% ±8 | 25% ±16 | > 7d | 2.45% | 1.61% | 1147 → 27 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.