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BTC · 1h · posted 2026-09-24 09:00 UTC
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BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,470 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.39 to 0.13) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH | 86,129.99 (+3.5%) | 4.9 | 1.8% | 11h | 1.4d ago · 89× | 20% ±6 | 50% ±9 | 8% ±5 | 42% ±9 | 118 | 3% ±1 | 20% ±6 | 48% ±13 | 64% ±20 | 3.3d | 1.41% | 1.01% | 985 → 23 | |
| LVN zone | 84,765.2–84,889.96 (+1.8%) | 2.6 | 0.7% | 2h | 6.8d ago · 53× | 44% ±14 | 51% ±12 | 16% ±9 | 33% ±11 | 67 | 12% ±4 | 44% ±14 | 65% ±23 | 76% ±32 | 1.3d | 1.95% | 0.76% | 290 → 7 | |
| at post · 83,231.7 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAH | 82,893.85 (-0.4%) | 0.6 | 0.2% | 22m | 1.3d ago · 58× | 83% ±15 | 44% ±12 | 10% ±7 | 46% ±12 | 65 | 68% ±8 | 83% ±15 | 90% ±20 | 95% ±24 | 2h | 1.29% | 0.91% | 143 → 3 | |
| 7D POC · 30D VAH | 80,897.74–81,166.6 (-2.5%) | 3.5 | 3.9% | 1.4d | 3.5d ago · 114× | 41% ±11 | 46% ±8 | 9% ±5 | 46% ±8 | 151 | 7% ±2 | 41% ±11 | 67% ±18 | 81% ±23 | 1.5d | 1.32% | 0.96% | 466 → 11 | |
| 7D VAL | 79,968.54 (-3.9%) | 5.5 | 2.6% | 1.1d | 6.1d ago · 99× | 21% ±6 | 55% ±9 | 6% ±4 | 40% ±9 | 123 | 3% ±1 | 21% ±6 | 41% ±13 | 56% ±20 | 5.2d | 1.47% | 1.25% | 1026 → 24 | |
| HVN zone | 76,656–79,774.92 (-4.2%) | 5.8 | 3.7% | 1.8d | 1.7d ago · 98× | 21% ±8 | 55% ±8 | 18% ±6 | 27% ±7 | 149 | 2% ±1 | 21% ±8 | 45% ±17 | 64% ±25 | 3.8d | 1.42% | 0.94% | 601 → 14 | |
| 14D POC · 30D POC | 77,217.4 (-7.2%) | 10 | 6.2% | 3.0d | 4.6d ago · 84× | 6% ±5 | 47% ±9 | 11% ±6 | 42% ±9 | 112 | 0% ±1 | 6% ±5 | 21% ±15 | 40% ±27 | > 7d | 1.32% | 0.96% | 527 → 13 | |
| 30D VAL | 76,281.73 (-8.4%) | 12 | 2.4% | 15h | 19.4d ago · 37× | 4% ±3 | 46% ±13 | 8% ±7 | 46% ±13 | 58 | 0% ±0 | 4% ±3 | 11% ±8 | 25% ±17 | > 7d | 1.41% | 1.28% | 1044 → 25 | |
| 14D VAL | 74,909.4 (-10.0%) | 14 | 0.1% | 5m | 19.9d ago · 56× | 2% ±2 | 43% ±11 | 6% ±6 | 51% ±11 | 74 | 0% ±0 | 2% ±2 | 11% ±8 | 25% ±17 | > 7d | 1.26% | 1.33% | 989 → 24 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.