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TSLA · 1h · posted 2026-09-24 17:30 UTC
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TSLA · these odds carry no usable signal 1,770 tests, 27% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.197, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0023), and their calibration slope is -0.09 (95% -0.36 to 0.26) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH | 386.7 (+1.7%) | 2.2 | 0.2% | 6m | 4.7d ago · 68× | 26% ±13 | 34% ±10 | 43% ±11 | 23% ±9 | 79 | 7% ±3 | 26% ±13 | 43% ±26 | 59% ±39 | 4.0d | 2.01% | 1.18% | 259 → 6 | |
| at post · 380.105 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D POC | 379.3045 (-0.2%) | 0.3 | 4.6% | 9h | 5.7d ago · 78× | 80% ±15 | 30% ±9 | 33% ±10 | 37% ±10 | 91 | 60% ±8 | 80% ±15 | 88% ±22 | 95% ±21 | 1h | 1.73% | 1.53% | 158 → 4 | |
| 14D VAH | 374.946 (-1.4%) | 1.7 | 3.0% | 4h | 11.7d ago · 43× | 48% ±25 | 23% ±12 | 38% ±14 | 38% ±14 | 49 | 17% ±8 | 48% ±25 | 63% ±42 | 75% ±60 | 1.9d | 1.57% | 1.40% | 91 → 2 | |
| LVN zone | 371.6822–372.5656 (-2.0%) | 2.6 | 1.9% | 1h | 11.7d ago · 36× | 16% ±18 | 23% ±13 | 28% ±14 | 50% ±16 | 37 | 5% ±4 | 16% ±17 | 31% ±37 | 47% ±69 | > 7d | 1.75% | 1.83% | 101 → 2 | |
| 30D VAH · 7D VAL | 370.8711–371.6822 (-2.2%) | 2.9 | 1.7% | 1h | 4.6d ago · 79× | 19% ±12 | 26% ±9 | 40% ±10 | 33% ±9 | 100 | 5% ±3 | 19% ±12 | 39% ±26 | 59% ±39 | 5.4d | 1.74% | 1.05% | 255 → 6 | |
| HVN zone | 361.5231–369.032 (-2.9%) | 3.7 | 4.7% | 6h | 5.4d ago · 68× | 25% ±20 | 31% ±10 | 34% ±10 | 34% ±10 | 84 | 3% ±3 | 24% ±20 | 43% ±40 | 54% ±56 | 5.0d | 1.72% | 1.14% | 107 → 3 | |
| 30D POC | 365.7193 (-3.8%) | 4.9 | 7.6% | 12h | 5.7d ago · 45× | 10% ±12 | 32% ±13 | 30% ±13 | 38% ±14 | 47 | 3% ±3 | 10% ±11 | 25% ±28 | 47% ±49 | > 7d | 1.50% | 1.31% | 160 → 4 | |
| 14D POC | 362.7022 (-4.6%) | 5.9 | 6.5% | 9h | 1.4d ago · 59× | 6% ±10 | 24% ±10 | 41% ±11 | 36% ±11 | 73 | 1% ±2 | 6% ±10 | 15% ±27 | 26% ±50 | > 7d | 1.63% | 1.12% | 132 → 3 | |
| 14D VAL | 354.703 (-6.7%) | 8.6 | 4.5% | 8h | 7.7d ago · 58× | 3% ±6 | 24% ±10 | 38% ±11 | 38% ±11 | 76 | 2% ±2 | 3% ±6 | 8% ±16 | 18% ±34 | > 7d | 1.78% | 1.36% | 196 → 5 | |
| 30D VAL | 350.4806 (-7.8%) | 10 | 1.4% | 2h | 6.4d ago · 44× | 2% ±4 | 27% ±12 | 44% ±13 | 29% ±12 | 52 | 2% ±2 | 2% ±4 | 5% ±11 | 11% ±25 | > 7d | 1.76% | 1.04% | 243 → 6 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.