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BTC · 1h · posted 2026-09-24 21:00 UTC
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BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,470 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.39 to 0.13) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH | 85,820.59 (+1.8%) | 2.6 | 2.0% | 10h | 1.4d ago · 89× | 40% ±10 | 50% ±9 | 8% ±5 | 42% ±9 | 118 | 10% ±2 | 40% ±10 | 64% ±16 | 76% ±22 | 1.6d | 1.41% | 1.01% | 607 → 14 | |
| LVN zone | 84,889.96–85,014.72 (+0.7%) | 1.0 | 0.8% | 2h | 6.8d ago · 53× | 73% ±13 | 52% ±12 | 15% ±9 | 32% ±11 | 68 | 48% ±6 | 73% ±13 | 81% ±20 | 85% ±29 | 5h | 1.97% | 0.75% | 264 → 6 | |
| at post · 84,304 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAH | 83,891.9 (-0.5%) | 0.7 | 1.4% | 6h | 1.3d ago · 58× | 82% ±15 | 44% ±12 | 10% ±7 | 46% ±12 | 65 | 66% ±7 | 81% ±15 | 90% ±20 | 96% ±20 | 2h | 1.29% | 0.91% | 158 → 4 | |
| LVN zone | 81,771.04–83,517.63 (-0.9%) | 1.3 | 0.8% | 4h | 7.1d ago · 46× | 66% ±16 | 40% ±13 | 12% ±8 | 48% ±13 | 57 | 36% ±7 | 67% ±16 | 86% ±21 | 94% ±21 | 9h | 1.20% | 1.25% | 198 → 5 | |
| 7D POC · 30D VAH | 81,147.25–81,182.92 (-3.7%) | 5.4 | 3.8% | 1.4d | 3.5d ago · 114× | 22% ±9 | 46% ±8 | 9% ±5 | 46% ±8 | 151 | 3% ±2 | 22% ±9 | 51% ±19 | 68% ±27 | 2.9d | 1.32% | 0.96% | 477 → 11 | |
| 7D VAL | 80,009.53 (-5.1%) | 7.4 | 2.4% | 23h | 6.1d ago · 99× | 13% ±5 | 55% ±9 | 6% ±4 | 40% ±9 | 123 | 1% ±1 | 13% ±5 | 32% ±12 | 49% ±20 | > 7d | 1.47% | 1.25% | 1003 → 24 | |
| HVN zone | 76,656–79,774.92 (-5.4%) | 7.8 | 3.7% | 1.8d | 1.7d ago · 98× | 15% ±7 | 55% ±8 | 18% ±6 | 27% ±7 | 149 | 2% ±1 | 15% ±7 | 39% ±17 | 59% ±26 | 4.9d | 1.42% | 0.94% | 580 → 14 | |
| 14D POC · 30D POC | 77,217.4 (-8.4%) | 12 | 6.1% | 3.0d | 4.6d ago · 84× | 4% ±4 | 47% ±9 | 11% ±6 | 42% ±9 | 112 | 0% ±0 | 4% ±4 | 14% ±13 | 35% ±27 | > 7d | 1.32% | 0.96% | 483 → 12 | |
| 30D VAL | 76,281.73 (-9.5%) | 14 | 2.4% | 15h | 19.4d ago · 37× | 2% ±2 | 46% ±13 | 8% ±7 | 46% ±13 | 58 | 0% ±0 | 2% ±2 | 10% ±7 | 22% ±16 | > 7d | 1.41% | 1.28% | 1105 → 26 | |
| 14D VAL | 74,909.4 (-11.1%) | 16 | 0.1% | 5m | 19.9d ago · 56× | 1% ±2 | 43% ±11 | 6% ±6 | 51% ±11 | 74 | 0% ±0 | 1% ±2 | 10% ±8 | 24% ±18 | > 7d | 1.26% | 1.33% | 878 → 21 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.