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BTC · 1h · posted 2026-09-25 21:00 UTC
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BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,470 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.39 to 0.13) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 87,260.34 (+4.2%) | 7.5 | 0.1% | 25m | 1.3d ago · 67× | 14% ±5 | 51% ±10 | 10% ±6 | 40% ±10 | 90 | 1% ±1 | 14% ±5 | 32% ±13 | 49% ±20 | > 7d | 1.35% | 0.85% | 945 → 23 | |
| 7D VAH | 86,510.4 (+3.3%) | 5.9 | 1.0% | 7h | 1.4d ago · 89× | 16% ±5 | 50% ±9 | 8% ±5 | 42% ±9 | 118 | 1% ±1 | 16% ±5 | 41% ±12 | 57% ±19 | 5.3d | 1.41% | 1.01% | 1076 → 26 | |
| 14D POC | 84,328.55 (+0.7%) | 1.2 | 2.1% | 16h | 5.9d ago · 81× | 74% ±11 | 47% ±9 | 11% ±6 | 42% ±9 | 111 | 50% ±5 | 74% ±11 | 88% ±13 | 94% ±15 | 4h | 1.62% | 0.74% | 389 → 9 | |
| 7D POC | 84,068.51 (+0.4%) | 0.7 | 2.1% | 13h | 5.9d ago · 116× | 85% ±8 | 40% ±8 | 8% ±4 | 52% ±8 | 151 | 67% ±4 | 85% ±8 | 95% ±9 | 97% ±10 | 1h | 1.29% | 1.16% | 441 → 11 | |
| at post · 83,747.3 | |||||||||||||||||||
| LVN zone | 81,646.28–83,517.63 (-0.3%) | 0.5 | 0.9% | 4h | 7.1d ago · 46× | 83% ±15 | 41% ±13 | 11% ±8 | 48% ±13 | 58 | 58% ±8 | 84% ±15 | 93% ±18 | 96% ±22 | 3h | 1.21% | 1.22% | 146 → 3 | |
| 7D VAL | 83,303.15 (-0.5%) | 0.9 | 0.5% | 2h | 6.1d ago · 99× | 75% ±10 | 55% ±9 | 6% ±4 | 40% ±9 | 123 | 48% ±5 | 75% ±10 | 87% ±13 | 90% ±18 | 5h | 1.47% | 1.25% | 442 → 11 | |
| 30D VAH | 81,396.76 (-2.8%) | 5.0 | 1.8% | 15h | 5.9d ago · 36× | 28% ±14 | 44% ±14 | 10% ±9 | 46% ±14 | 47 | 4% ±3 | 28% ±14 | 55% ±26 | 67% ±38 | 2.6d | 1.52% | 0.91% | 251 → 6 | |
| HVN zone | 76,656–79,774.92 (-4.7%) | 8.5 | 3.0% | 1.4d | 1.7d ago · 98× | 12% ±7 | 55% ±8 | 18% ±6 | 27% ±7 | 149 | 1% ±1 | 12% ±7 | 36% ±17 | 55% ±27 | 5.7d | 1.42% | 0.94% | 553 → 13 | |
| 14D VAL · 30D POC | 77,217.4–77,404.54 (-7.6%) | 14 | 4.3% | 1.7d | 4.6d ago · 62× | 2% ±2 | 46% ±10 | 9% ±6 | 45% ±10 | 91 | 0% ±0 | 2% ±2 | 11% ±8 | 31% ±18 | > 7d | 1.41% | 1.13% | 1013 → 24 | |
| 30D VAL | 76,281.73 (-8.9%) | 16 | 1.9% | 12h | 19.5d ago · 37× | 1% ±2 | 46% ±13 | 8% ±7 | 46% ±13 | 58 | 0% ±0 | 1% ±2 | 8% ±7 | 18% ±15 | > 7d | 1.41% | 1.28% | 1083 → 26 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.