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1000PEPE · 1h · posted 2026-09-26 16:00 UTC
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1000PEPE · these odds carry some signal, worth about 0.53 of what they claim 105 tests, 47% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 2.4% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0060 of 0.249, 95% 0.0039 to 0.0060), and their calibration slope is 0.53 (95% 0.13 to 0.53) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HVN zone | 0.00491082–0.00493248 (+10.6%) | 9.8 | 1.5% | 6h | 3.8d ago · 81× | building | building | building | building | building | 0 | 1% ±1 | 7% ±5 | 24% ±13 | 42% ±23 | > 7d | — | — | 722 → 17 |
| 7D VAH | 0.00490026 (+10.3%) | 9.6 | 1.5% | 6h | 1.2d ago · 69× | building | building | building | building | building | 0 | 0% ±0 | 5% ±3 | 18% ±10 | 32% ±18 | > 7d | — | — | 1079 → 26 |
| 14D VAH | 0.00473593 (+6.6%) | 6.1 | 0.5% | 1h | 5.0d ago · 48× | building | building | building | building | building | 0 | 1% ±1 | 14% ±6 | 35% ±14 | 45% ±22 | > 7d | — | — | 784 → 19 |
| LVN zone | 0.00454267–0.00475923 (+2.3%) | 2.1 | 0.4% | 60m | 1.8d ago · 58× | building | building | building | building | building | 0 | 20% ±5 | 58% ±15 | 74% ±23 | 79% ±32 | 18h | — | — | 246 → 6 |
| 7D POC | 0.00445743 (+0.4%) | 0.3 | 1.7% | 14h | 2.4d ago · 92× | building | building | building | building | building | 0 | 75% ±4 | 86% ±8 | 90% ±13 | 92% ±18 | 1h | — | — | 391 → 9 |
| at post · 0.0044407 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D VAH | 0.00432611 (-2.6%) | 2.4 | 0.6% | 3h | 4.6d ago · 27× | building | building | building | building | building | 0 | 14% ±6 | 51% ±21 | 70% ±34 | 85% ±41 | 23h | — | — | 133 → 3 |
| LVN zone | 0.00415286–0.00417452 (-6.0%) | 5.5 | 0.5% | 1h | 8.2d ago · 29× | building | building | building | building | building | 0 | 1% ±1 | 17% ±8 | 43% ±19 | 67% ±28 | 4.1d | — | — | 471 → 11 |
| 7D VAL | 0.00390953 (-12.0%) | 11 | 0.5% | 4h | 3.8d ago · 87× | building | building | building | building | building | 0 | 0% ±0 | 3% ±3 | 18% ±13 | 40% ±25 | > 7d | — | — | 622 → 15 |
| HVN zone | 0.00380637–0.00382802 (-13.8%) | 13 | 1.5% | 12h | 1.8d ago · 72× | building | building | building | building | building | 0 | 0% ±1 | 3% ±4 | 13% ±14 | 27% ±28 | > 7d | — | — | 409 → 10 |
| 30D POC | 0.00364395 (-17.9%) | 17 | 4.1% | 2.2d | 1.2d ago · 53× | building | building | building | building | building | 0 | 0% ±0 | 1% ±3 | 6% ±10 | 18% ±24 | > 7d | — | — | 410 → 10 |
| 14D POC | 0.00342412 (-22.9%) | 21 | 3.4% | 1.4d | 1.2d ago · 68× | building | building | building | building | building | 0 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±8 | 11% ±35 | > 7d | — | — | 143 → 3 |
| 14D VAL | 0.00328769 (-26.0%) | 24 | 1.2% | 9h | 81.6d ago · 52× | building | building | building | building | building | 0 | 0% ±1 | 0% ±2 | 2% ±7 | 17% ±30 | > 7d | — | — | 249 → 6 |
| 30D VAL | 0.00324331 (-27.0%) | 25 | 0.5% | 3h | 104.6d ago · 46× | building | building | building | building | building | 0 | 0% ±0 | 1% ±2 | 2% ±6 | 14% ±20 | > 7d | — | — | 490 → 12 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | short | 0.0044407 | 0.00390953 | 0.00490026 | expired | +1.74% |