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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-07-02 08:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,518 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.46 to 0.13) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH · 30D VAH · 14D VAH | 107,840.42–108,143.79 (+0.1%) | 0.3 | 2.4% | 16h | 3.8d ago · 89× | building | building | building | building | building | 0 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 1 → 1 |
| at post · 107,691.6 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D POC · 14D POC | 107,130.28–107,330.95 (-0.3%) | 0.7 | 4.4% | 2.1d | 3.5d ago · 115× | building | building | building | building | building | 0 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 0 → 0 |
| 7D VAL | 106,632.78 (-1.0%) | 2.2 | 2.8% | 18h | 1.3d ago · 101× | building | building | building | building | building | 1 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 1 → 1 |
| HVN zone | 104,008.35–106,014.47 (-1.6%) | 3.4 | 2.9% | 22h | 3.8d ago · 98× | building | building | building | building | building | 0 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 2 → 1 |
| 30D POC | 104,823.34 (-2.7%) | 5.9 | 5.8% | 2.1d | 3.5d ago · 63× | building | building | building | building | building | 0 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 5 → 1 |
| 30D VAL | 103,381.44 (-4.0%) | 8.8 | 1.8% | 14h | 22.9d ago · 37× | building | building | building | building | building | 0 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 7 → 1 |
| 14D VAL | 102,916.22 (-4.4%) | 9.8 | 1.2% | 5h | 1.3d ago · 58× | building | building | building | building | building | 0 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 8 → 1 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | long | 107,691.6 | 107,840.42 | 106,632.78 | target | +1.52% |
| 14d | POC | long | 107,691.6 | 108,143.79 | 102,916.22 | target | +1.52% |