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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-07-03 20:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,518 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.46 to 0.13) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at post · 109,902.8 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAH | 109,865.57 (-0.0%) | 0.1 | 1.5% | 10h | 4.1d ago · 58× | building | building | building | building | building | 0 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 1 → 1 |
| 7D VAH | 108,951.28 (-0.9%) | 1.8 | 1.5% | 8h | 4.2d ago · 72× | building | building | building | building | building | 0 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 5 → 1 |
| 30D VAH | 108,522.11 (-1.3%) | 2.6 | 1.7% | 14h | 9.3d ago · 36× | building | building | building | building | building | 0 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 7 → 1 |
| HVN zone | 106,641.38–107,895.2 (-1.8%) | 3.9 | 2.4% | 15h | 3.7d ago · 98× | building | building | building | building | building | 1 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 9 → 1 |
| 7D POC · 14D POC | 107,206.32–107,336.45 (-2.3%) | 4.9 | 4.9% | 2.3d | 3.5d ago · 115× | building | building | building | building | building | 1 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 7 → 1 |
| 7D VAL | 106,214.28 (-3.4%) | 7.1 | 2.0% | 16h | 1.3d ago · 101× | building | building | building | building | building | 1 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 7 → 1 |
| 30D POC | 104,823.34 (-4.6%) | 9.7 | 5.9% | 2.1d | 3.5d ago · 63× | building | building | building | building | building | 0 | 8% ±17 | 8% ±38 | 8% | 8% | > 7d | — | — | 10 → 1 |
| 30D VAL · 14D VAL | 103,062.84–103,130.68 (-6.2%) | 13 | 1.6% | 8h | 1.2d ago · 58× | building | building | building | building | building | 0 | 6% ±12 | 6% ±27 | 6% | 6% | > 7d | — | — | 15 → 1 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | VAH | long | 109,902.8 | 116,705.53 | 107,206.32 | stop | -2.06% |