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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-07-04 20:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,518 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.46 to 0.13) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 110,484 (+2.6%) | 7.7 | 0.1% | 13m | 3.8d ago · 67× | building | building | building | building | building | 1 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 5 → 1 |
| 7D VAH | 109,279.72 (+1.5%) | 4.4 | 1.8% | 14h | 4.2d ago · 89× | building | building | building | building | building | 1 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 8 → 1 |
| 30D VAH | 108,647.49 (+0.9%) | 2.7 | 1.5% | 11h | 8.3d ago · 38× | building | building | building | building | building | 1 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 7 → 1 |
| at post · 107,635.6 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D POC · 14D POC | 107,453.69–107,610.15 (-0.0%) | 0.1 | 3.6% | 1.2d | 3.5d ago · 115× | building | building | building | building | building | 1 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 3 → 1 |
| 7D VAL | 106,652.2 (-0.9%) | 2.7 | 2.0% | 13h | 1.3d ago · 101× | building | building | building | building | building | 1 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 4 → 1 |
| HVN zone | 104,133.74–106,014.47 (-1.5%) | 4.4 | 1.8% | 14h | 3.7d ago · 98× | building | building | building | building | building | 1 | 8% ±16 | 42% ±68 | 75% | 75% | 1.0d | — | — | 11 → 1 |
| 30D POC | 104,823.34 (-2.6%) | 7.6 | 3.9% | 1.5d | 3.5d ago · 63× | 7% ±36 | building | building | building | building | 0 | 5% ±10 | 5% ±25 | 5% | 5% | > 7d | — | — | 18 → 1 |
| 14D VAL · 30D VAL | 103,130.68–103,310.21 (-4.0%) | 12 | 1.3% | 9h | 1.2d ago · 58× | 6% ±27 | building | building | building | building | 0 | 4% ±9 | 4% ±20 | 4% | 4% | > 7d | — | — | 22 → 1 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | long | 107,635.6 | 109,279.72 | 106,652.2 | expired | +0.37% |
| 14d | POC | long | 107,635.6 | 110,484 | 103,310.21 | expired | +0.37% |