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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-07-08 20:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,521 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0011), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.46 to 0.12) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 109,901.31 (+1.2%) | 3.4 | 1.1% | 7h | 8.4d ago · 38× | 38% ±48 | building | building | building | building | 2 | 6% ±9 | 35% ±42 | 78% ±57 | 78% | 1.2d | — | — | 30 → 1 |
| 7D VAH | 109,334.46 (+0.7%) | 2.0 | 2.3% | 18h | 4.2d ago · 89× | building | building | building | building | building | 3 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 9 → 1 |
| 14D VAH | 108,896.54 (+0.3%) | 0.8 | 2.4% | 20h | 3.9d ago · 67× | building | building | building | building | building | 2 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 7 → 1 |
| HVN zone | 108,647.49–108,898.25 (+0.1%) | 0.2 | 2.4% | 19h | 1.4d ago · 80× | building | building | building | building | building | 1 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 6 → 1 |
| at post · 108,578 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 106,766.76–108,271.34 (-0.3%) | 0.8 | 2.3% | 18h | 3.8d ago · 98× | 75% ±60 | building | building | building | building | 4 | 61% ±24 | 74% ±49 | 88% | 88% | 1h | — | — | 16 → 1 |
| 7D POC | 108,048.07 (-0.5%) | 1.4 | 3.0% | 1.7d | 3.8d ago · 115× | 33% ±65 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 37% ±25 | 45% ±69 | 94% | 94% | 1.4d | — | — | 14 → 1 |
| 7D VAL · 30D POC · 14D POC | 107,445.93–107,528.04 (-1.0%) | 2.7 | 4.2% | 1.3d | 1.4d ago · 101× | 27% ±43 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 11% ±12 | 28% ±44 | 54% | 54% | 1.4d | — | — | 26 → 1 |
| 14D VAL | 106,652.2 (-1.8%) | 5.0 | 2.2% | 14h | 1.1d ago · 58× | building | building | building | building | building | 0 | 7% ±14 | 7% ±35 | 7% | 7% | > 7d | — | — | 13 → 1 |
| 30D VAL | 104,635.26 (-3.6%) | 10 | 2.8% | 22h | 22.9d ago · 37× | 3% ±15 | building | building | building | building | 0 | 3% ±5 | 3% ±12 | 3% ±22 | 3% | > 7d | — | — | 38 → 1 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | VAH | short | 108,578 | 107,445.93 | 109,300.52 | stop | -1.93% |