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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-07-15 04:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,521 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0011), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.46 to 0.12) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH | 122,839.05 (+4.6%) | 6.2 | 0.2% | 47m | 4.2d ago · 89× | 42% ±48 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 4% ±8 | 42% ±48 | 96% | 96% | 1.2d | — | — | 23 → 1 |
| LVN zone | 120,277.85–121,033.39 (+2.4%) | 3.2 | 0.5% | 3h | 2.2d ago · 54× | building | building | building | building | building | 0 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 0 → 0 |
| 7D POC | 117,845.43 (+0.3%) | 0.4 | 2.6% | 1.1d | 4.1d ago · 117× | building | building | building | building | building | 4 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 8 → 1 |
| HVN zone | 117,507.54–117,759.39 (+0.0%) | 0.0 | 2.5% | 1.1d | 1.4d ago · 80× | building | building | building | building | building | 2 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 7 → 1 |
| at post · 117,481.8 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAH | 117,264.3 (-0.2%) | 0.3 | 1.9% | 17h | 4.2d ago · 58× | building | building | building | building | building | 2 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 5 → 1 |
| LVN zone | 113,478.01–115,744.62 (-1.5%) | 2.0 | 0.6% | 3h | 1.1d ago · 47× | building | building | building | building | building | 1 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 9 → 1 |
| 7D VAL | 112,237.2 (-4.5%) | 6.0 | 0.2% | 19m | 1.3d ago · 101× | 3% ±13 | building | building | building | building | 2 | 3% ±6 | 3% ±13 | 3% ±23 | 3% | > 7d | — | — | 33 → 1 |
| 30D VAH | 109,700.32 (-6.6%) | 9.0 | 2.0% | 14h | 9.3d ago · 36× | 8% ±38 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 7% ±14 | 7% ±35 | 7% | 7% | > 7d | — | — | 13 → 1 |
| HVN zone | 103,656.01–109,700.32 (-6.6%) | 9.0 | 2.0% | 14h | 3.8d ago · 98× | 5% ±25 | building | building | building | building | 6 | 5% ±9 | 5% ±24 | 5% | 5% | > 7d | — | — | 20 → 1 |
| 14D POC | 108,759.45 (-7.4%) | 10 | 5.0% | 2.1d | 3.6d ago · 85× | 10% ±34 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 4% ±9 | 9% ±29 | 14% | 14% | > 7d | — | — | 21 → 1 |
| 30D POC | 107,307.78 (-8.7%) | 12 | 7.3% | 3.4d | 3.6d ago · 63× | 3% ±13 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 3% ±5 | 3% ±12 | 3% ±22 | 3% | > 7d | — | — | 38 → 1 |
| 14D VAL | 105,192.9 (-10.5%) | 14 | 4.2% | 1.2d | 1.1d ago · 58× | 2% ±9 | building | building | building | building | 0 | 2% ±3 | 2% ±9 | 2% ±15 | 2% | > 7d | — | — | 55 → 1 |
| 30D VAL | 101,137.55 (-13.9%) | 19 | 1.7% | 7h | 22.9d ago · 37× | 2% ±9 | building | building | building | building | 0 | 2% ±3 | 2% ±8 | 2% ±14 | 2% | > 7d | — | — | 59 → 1 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | VAH | long | 117,481.8 | 117,538.65 | 108,759.45 | target | +0.10% |