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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-07-16 04:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,518 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.46 to 0.13) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH | 122,259.01 (+4.0%) | 5.3 | 0.6% | 3h | 4.1d ago · 89× | 35% ±42 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 5% ±7 | 32% ±37 | 97% ±22 | 97% | 1.4d | — | — | 35 → 1 |
| LVN zone | 120,277.85–121,033.39 (+2.3%) | 3.1 | 0.5% | 3h | 2.1d ago · 54× | building | building | building | building | building | 1 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 6 → 1 |
| at post · 117,601.5 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D POC · 14D VAH | 117,501.44–117,574.55 (-0.0%) | 0.0 | 3.5% | 1.5d | 3.7d ago · 115× | building | building | building | building | building | 5 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 9 → 1 |
| LVN zone | 113,478.01–115,744.62 (-1.6%) | 2.1 | 0.7% | 3h | 1.4d ago · 47× | building | building | building | building | building | 2 | 13% ±18 | 28% ±62 | 69% | 93% | 2.7d | — | — | 13 → 1 |
| 7D VAL | 115,566.92 (-1.7%) | 2.3 | 0.4% | 2h | 1.2d ago · 101× | 29% ±52 | building | building | building | building | 2 | 16% ±17 | 27% ±50 | 27% | 27% | > 7d | — | — | 17 → 1 |
| 30D VAH | 109,952.16 (-6.5%) | 8.8 | 0.9% | 5h | 9.2d ago · 36× | 7% ±35 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 5% ±10 | 5% ±24 | 5% | 5% | > 7d | — | — | 19 → 1 |
| HVN zone | 103,907.86–109,448.47 (-6.9%) | 9.4 | 2.9% | 22h | 3.7d ago · 98× | 5% ±24 | building | building | building | building | 6 | 4% ±7 | 4% ±19 | 4% | 4% | > 7d | — | — | 25 → 1 |
| 14D POC | 108,888.86 (-7.4%) | 10 | 4.8% | 2.0d | 3.5d ago · 85× | 9% ±28 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 3% ±7 | 7% ±23 | 12% ±45 | 12% | > 7d | — | — | 27 → 1 |
| 30D POC | 107,307.78 (-8.8%) | 12 | 7.1% | 3.4d | 3.5d ago · 63× | 3% ±13 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 2% ±4 | 2% ±11 | 2% ±20 | 2% | > 7d | — | — | 43 → 1 |
| 14D VAL | 106,415.95 (-9.5%) | 13 | 3.0% | 21h | 1.2d ago · 58× | 2% ±9 | building | building | building | building | 0 | 2% ±3 | 2% ±8 | 2% ±14 | 2% | > 7d | — | — | 61 → 1 |
| 30D VAL | 100,130.17 (-14.9%) | 20 | 0.7% | 1h | 22.8d ago · 37× | 2% ±8 | building | building | building | building | 0 | 2% ±3 | 2% ±7 | 2% ±12 | 2% ±17 | > 7d | — | — | 64 → 2 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | long | 117,601.5 | 122,259.01 | 115,566.92 | expired | +0.74% |
| 14d | VAH | long | 117,601.5 | 118,951.08 | 108,888.86 | target | +0.74% |