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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-07-17 12:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,518 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.46 to 0.13) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 122,817 (+4.2%) | 6.4 | 0.2% | 44m | 3.8d ago · 67× | 30% ±52 | building | building | building | building | 4 | 5% ±10 | 30% ±52 | 55% | 95% | 2.0d | — | — | 18 → 1 |
| LVN zone | 120,529.69–121,285.23 (+2.3%) | 3.4 | 0.4% | 1h | 2.1d ago · 54× | building | building | building | building | building | 1 | 7% ±15 | 45% ±69 | 93% | 93% | 1.0d | — | — | 12 → 1 |
| 7D VAH | 119,954.37 (+1.8%) | 2.7 | 0.9% | 6h | 4.1d ago · 89× | 46% ±49 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 13% ±13 | 43% ±43 | 84% ±50 | 84% | 1.2d | — | — | 28 → 1 |
| at post · 117,853.3 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D POC · 7D POC | 117,573.83–117,584.5 (-0.2%) | 0.3 | 3.4% | 1.4d | 3.5d ago · 115× | 71% ±63 | building | building | building | building | 6 | 56% ±24 | 78% ±47 | 89% | 89% | 2h | — | — | 16 → 1 |
| 7D VAL | 116,222.71 (-1.4%) | 2.1 | 1.0% | 3h | 1.2d ago · 101× | 26% ±50 | building | building | building | building | 2 | 15% ±16 | 26% ±49 | 26% | 26% | > 7d | — | — | 18 → 1 |
| LVN zone | 113,478.01–115,744.62 (-1.8%) | 2.7 | 0.6% | 3h | 1.4d ago · 47× | 18% ±43 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 10% ±14 | 16% ±41 | 77% | 86% | 2.5d | — | — | 18 → 1 |
| 30D VAH | 111,463.24 (-5.4%) | 8.2 | 0.7% | 3h | 9.2d ago · 36× | 5% ±24 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 4% ±7 | 4% ±19 | 4% | 4% | > 7d | — | — | 25 → 1 |
| 14D VAL | 109,776 (-6.9%) | 10 | 1.4% | 10h | 1.2d ago · 58× | 2% ±8 | building | building | building | building | 0 | 2% ±3 | 2% ±7 | 2% ±12 | 2% ±17 | > 7d | — | — | 63 → 2 |
| HVN zone | 106,426.32–109,448.47 (-7.1%) | 11 | 2.7% | 20h | 3.7d ago · 98× | 4% ±18 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 4% ±7 | 4% ±18 | 4% | 4% | > 7d | — | — | 26 → 1 |
| 30D POC | 107,559.63 (-8.7%) | 13 | 5.6% | 2.0d | 3.5d ago · 63× | 2% ±11 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 2% ±4 | 2% ±10 | 2% ±16 | 2% | > 7d | — | — | 48 → 1 |
| 30D VAL | 99,374.63 (-15.7%) | 24 | 1.0% | 3h | 22.8d ago · 37× | 2% ±9 | building | building | building | building | 0 | 2% ±3 | 2% ±8 | 2% ±14 | 2% | > 7d | — | — | 62 → 1 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.