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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-07-18 00:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,518 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.46 to 0.13) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 122,817 (+2.6%) | 3.9 | 0.2% | 45m | 3.8d ago · 67× | 45% ±56 | building | building | building | building | 4 | 14% ±15 | 44% ±56 | 80% | 95% | 1.3d | — | — | 20 → 1 |
| LVN zone | 120,781.54–121,285.23 (+0.9%) | 1.3 | 0.5% | 1h | 2.1d ago · 54× | building | building | building | building | building | 2 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 7 → 1 |
| at post · 119,735.8 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAH | 119,540.16 (-0.2%) | 0.2 | 1.6% | 8h | 4.2d ago · 72× | building | building | building | building | building | 3 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 5 → 1 |
| HVN zone | 117,003.85–118,766.77 (-0.8%) | 1.2 | 2.5% | 18h | 3.7d ago · 98× | 76% ±38 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 42% ±17 | 78% ±36 | 87% ±46 | 87% | 5h | — | — | 31 → 1 |
| 7D POC · 14D POC | 117,584.5–117,699.41 (-1.7%) | 2.6 | 3.5% | 1.4d | 3.5d ago · 115× | 35% ±42 | building | building | building | building | 6 | 14% ±11 | 38% ±39 | 78% ±58 | 78% | 1.5d | — | — | 36 → 1 |
| 7D VAL | 116,641.95 (-2.6%) | 3.9 | 1.7% | 8h | 1.2d ago · 101× | 10% ±24 | building | building | building | building | 2 | 4% ±6 | 9% ±21 | 9% ±39 | 9% | > 7d | — | — | 44 → 1 |
| LVN zone | 111,715.08–115,744.62 (-3.3%) | 5.0 | 0.6% | 3h | 1.4d ago · 47× | 22% ±47 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 4% ±8 | 20% ±39 | 67% | 67% | 1.8d | — | — | 22 → 1 |
| 30D VAH | 112,470.62 (-6.1%) | 9.2 | 0.3% | 24m | 9.2d ago · 36× | 4% ±19 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 3% ±6 | 3% ±15 | 3% ±24 | 3% | > 7d | — | — | 30 → 1 |
| 14D VAL | 110,903 (-7.4%) | 11 | 1.2% | 10h | 1.2d ago · 58× | 2% ±8 | building | building | building | building | 0 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±7 | 1% ±12 | 1% ±17 | > 7d | — | — | 66 → 2 |
| 30D POC | 107,559.63 (-10.2%) | 15 | 5.8% | 2.1d | 3.5d ago · 63× | 2% ±11 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 2% ±4 | 2% ±10 | 2% ±16 | 2% | > 7d | — | — | 49 → 1 |
| 30D VAL | 98,367.25 (-17.8%) | 27 | 0.1% | 15m | 22.8d ago · 37× | 2% ±10 | building | building | building | building | 0 | 2% ±4 | 2% ±9 | 2% ±15 | 2% | > 7d | — | — | 51 → 1 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAH | long | 119,735.8 | 122,634.01 | 117,699.41 | stop | -1.69% |