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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-07-18 08:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,518 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.46 to 0.13) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 122,817 (+3.5%) | 4.9 | 0.2% | 49m | 3.8d ago · 67× | 38% ±55 | building | building | building | building | 4 | 8% ±11 | 35% ±47 | 66% | 96% | 1.4d | — | — | 24 → 1 |
| LVN zone | 121,033.39–121,537.08 (+2.0%) | 2.8 | 0.6% | 1h | 2.1d ago · 54× | building | building | building | building | building | 2 | 12% ±16 | 65% ±54 | 94% | 94% | 17h | — | — | 15 → 1 |
| 7D VAH | 119,793.93 (+1.0%) | 1.4 | 1.7% | 10h | 4.1d ago · 89× | 79% ±57 | building | building | building | building | 6 | 53% ±25 | 82% ±43 | 94% | 94% | 4h | — | — | 15 → 1 |
| at post · 118,637.3 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D POC · 7D POC | 117,545.47–117,584.5 (-0.9%) | 1.2 | 3.8% | 1.5d | 3.5d ago · 115× | 54% ±49 | building | building | building | building | 6 | 43% ±19 | 56% ±44 | 84% ±51 | 84% | 7h | — | — | 27 → 1 |
| 7D VAL | 116,821.39 (-1.5%) | 2.1 | 2.0% | 9h | 1.2d ago · 101× | 25% ±49 | building | building | building | building | 2 | 13% ±14 | 22% ±40 | 22% | 22% | > 7d | — | — | 21 → 1 |
| LVN zone | 111,715.08–115,744.62 (-2.4%) | 3.4 | 0.7% | 3h | 1.4d ago · 47× | 19% ±44 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 4% ±8 | 16% ±36 | 64% | 75% | 2.7d | — | — | 24 → 1 |
| 30D VAH | 113,478.01 (-4.3%) | 6.1 | 0.6% | 2h | 9.2d ago · 36× | 8% ±37 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 7% ±15 | 7% ±36 | 7% | 7% | > 7d | — | — | 12 → 1 |
| 14D VAL | 111,225 (-6.2%) | 8.7 | 1.3% | 12h | 1.2d ago · 58× | 2% ±10 | building | building | building | building | 0 | 2% ±4 | 2% ±9 | 2% ±15 | 2% | > 7d | — | — | 51 → 1 |
| HVN zone | 106,426.32–109,448.47 (-7.7%) | 11 | 2.9% | 22h | 3.7d ago · 98× | 4% ±18 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 3% ±7 | 3% ±16 | 3% ±25 | 3% | > 7d | — | — | 28 → 1 |
| 30D POC | 107,559.63 (-9.3%) | 13 | 6.1% | 2.2d | 3.5d ago · 63× | 2% ±10 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 2% ±4 | 2% ±9 | 2% ±15 | 2% | > 7d | — | — | 53 → 1 |
| 30D VAL | 98,367.25 (-17.1%) | 24 | 0.1% | 16m | 22.8d ago · 37× | 2% ±8 | building | building | building | building | 0 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±7 | 1% ±12 | 1% ±17 | > 7d | — | — | 66 → 2 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAH | short | 118,637.3 | 117,545.47 | 120,328.98 | target | +0.49% |