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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-07-18 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,518 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.46 to 0.13) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 122,817 (+4.5%) | 6.0 | 0.2% | 50m | 3.8d ago · 67× | 30% ±45 | building | building | building | building | 4 | 3% ±7 | 27% ±39 | 57% ±69 | 97% | 2.0d | — | — | 27 → 1 |
| LVN zone | 121,033.39–121,537.08 (+3.0%) | 4.0 | 0.6% | 2h | 2.1d ago · 54× | building | building | building | building | building | 2 | 6% ±13 | 60% ±68 | 94% | 94% | 21h | — | — | 14 → 1 |
| 7D VAH | 119,946.36 (+2.0%) | 2.7 | 1.6% | 11h | 4.2d ago · 89× | 42% ±43 | building | building | building | building | 6 | 14% ±12 | 50% ±40 | 82% ±54 | 82% | 1.0d | — | — | 34 → 1 |
| 7D POC | 118,764.97 (+1.0%) | 1.4 | 3.3% | 22h | 4.0d ago · 117× | 86% ±48 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 64% ±27 | 86% ±48 | 93% | 93% | 1h | — | — | 12 → 1 |
| 14D POC | 117,584.5 (+0.0%) | 0.0 | 4.1% | 1.6d | 3.7d ago · 82× | building | building | building | building | building | 2 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 2 → 1 |
| at post · 117,543.5 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 116,973.82 (-0.5%) | 0.7 | 2.3% | 11h | 1.3d ago · 101× | building | building | building | building | building | 2 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 7 → 1 |
| 30D VAH | 115,996.47 (-1.3%) | 1.8 | 0.9% | 3h | 9.3d ago · 36× | 31% ±64 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 12% ±17 | 31% ±64 | 63% | 63% | 1.4d | — | — | 14 → 1 |
| LVN zone | 111,715.08–115,744.62 (-1.5%) | 2.1 | 0.7% | 3h | 1.4d ago · 47× | 24% ±48 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 12% ±16 | 24% ±48 | 60% | 94% | 2.8d | — | — | 15 → 1 |
| 14D VAL | 112,513 (-4.3%) | 5.8 | 0.3% | 27m | 1.2d ago · 58× | 3% ±16 | building | building | building | building | 0 | 3% ±7 | 3% ±16 | 3% ±25 | 3% | > 7d | — | — | 27 → 1 |
| HVN zone | 106,426.32–109,448.47 (-6.9%) | 9.3 | 3.0% | 22h | 3.7d ago · 98× | 3% ±16 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 3% ±6 | 3% ±15 | 3% ±24 | 3% | > 7d | — | — | 29 → 1 |
| 30D POC | 107,559.63 (-8.5%) | 11 | 6.3% | 2.3d | 3.5d ago · 63× | 2% ±9 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 2% ±3 | 2% ±8 | 2% ±14 | 2% | > 7d | — | — | 59 → 1 |
| 30D VAL | 98,367.25 (-16.3%) | 22 | 0.1% | 16m | 22.9d ago · 37× | 1% ±7 | building | building | building | building | 0 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±6 | 1% ±11 | 1% ±16 | > 7d | — | — | 76 → 2 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | POC | short | 117,543.5 | 112,513 | 122,817 | expired | -0.35% |