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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-07-21 00:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,518 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.46 to 0.13) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 121,869 (+3.9%) | 10 | 0.4% | 2h | 3.8d ago · 67× | 16% ±36 | building | building | building | building | 4 | 3% ±6 | 14% ±30 | 14% ±48 | 97% | 4.3d | — | — | 29 → 1 |
| 7D VAH | 119,793.93 (+2.1%) | 5.6 | 1.0% | 5h | 4.1d ago · 89× | 26% ±30 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 4% ±5 | 24% ±28 | 63% ±55 | 63% | 1.9d | — | — | 51 → 1 |
| 7D POC | 118,155.22 (+0.7%) | 1.9 | 2.7% | 1.1d | 4.0d ago · 117× | 53% ±69 | building | building | building | building | 6 | 33% ±23 | 61% ±55 | 94% | 94% | 20h | — | — | 16 → 1 |
| 14D POC | 117,814.5 (+0.4%) | 1.1 | 3.0% | 1.4d | 3.6d ago · 82× | building | building | building | building | building | 3 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 5 → 1 |
| at post · 117,323.6 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D VAH | 117,255.7 (-0.1%) | 0.2 | 2.1% | 14h | 9.2d ago · 36× | building | building | building | building | building | 1 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 3 → 1 |
| 7D VAL | 116,745.17 (-0.5%) | 1.3 | 1.2% | 5h | 1.2d ago · 101× | 38% ±47 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 21% ±17 | 38% ±47 | 58% | 63% | 1.8d | — | — | 22 → 1 |
| LVN zone | 111,715.08–115,744.62 (-1.3%) | 3.6 | 0.4% | 2h | 1.4d ago · 47× | 13% ±27 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 3% ±5 | 13% ±27 | 36% ±67 | 45% | > 7d | — | — | 36 → 1 |
| 14D VAL | 115,668 (-1.4%) | 3.8 | 0.3% | 1h | 1.2d ago · 58× | 7% ±36 | building | building | building | building | 0 | 7% ±15 | 7% ±36 | 7% | 7% | > 7d | — | — | 12 → 1 |
| HVN zone | 106,426.32–109,700.32 (-6.5%) | 17 | 1.0% | 8h | 3.7d ago · 98× | 2% ±11 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 2% ±4 | 2% ±10 | 2% ±16 | 2% | > 7d | — | — | 48 → 1 |
| 30D POC | 107,559.63 (-8.3%) | 22 | 3.4% | 1.1d | 3.5d ago · 63× | 2% ±9 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 2% ±3 | 2% ±8 | 2% ±15 | 2% | > 7d | — | — | 57 → 1 |
| 30D VAL | 98,367.25 (-16.2%) | 43 | <0.1% | 8m | 22.8d ago · 37× | 2% ±11 | building | building | building | building | 0 | 2% ±4 | 2% ±10 | 2% ±16 | 2% | > 7d | — | — | 48 → 1 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30d | VAH | long | 117,323.6 | 117,885.31 | 107,559.63 | target | -0.21% |