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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-07-21 08:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,518 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.46 to 0.13) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 121,392 (+2.0%) | 4.3 | 0.4% | 2h | 3.8d ago · 67× | 31% ±45 | building | building | building | building | 4 | 8% ±11 | 31% ±45 | 54% | 96% | 2.7d | — | — | 24 → 1 |
| 7D VAH | 119,535.32 (+0.5%) | 1.0 | 1.4% | 7h | 4.1d ago · 89× | 77% ±47 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 59% ±22 | 77% ±47 | 95% | 95% | 2h | — | — | 20 → 1 |
| at post · 118,990.2 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D POC | 118,123.3 (-0.7%) | 1.6 | 3.6% | 1.4d | 3.7d ago · 115× | 61% ±48 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 38% ±18 | 62% ±43 | 86% ±48 | 86% | 13h | — | — | 27 → 1 |
| 14D POC | 117,814.5 (-1.0%) | 2.1 | 3.8% | 1.8d | 3.5d ago · 85× | 48% ±49 | building | building | building | building | 6 | 29% ±17 | 50% ±49 | 79% | 79% | 1.4d | — | — | 26 → 1 |
| 30D VAH | 117,255.7 (-1.5%) | 3.1 | 2.7% | 18h | 9.2d ago · 36× | 14% ±40 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 7% ±10 | 33% ±46 | 74% | 74% | 1.4d | — | — | 26 → 1 |
| 7D VAL | 116,849.04 (-1.8%) | 3.8 | 1.7% | 7h | 1.2d ago · 101× | 15% ±23 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 5% ±6 | 24% ±26 | 30% ±52 | 37% | > 7d | — | — | 58 → 1 |
| LVN zone | 111,715.08–115,744.62 (-2.7%) | 5.8 | 0.5% | 2h | 1.4d ago · 47× | 12% ±28 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 3% ±5 | 11% ±25 | 31% ±64 | 31% | > 7d | — | — | 38 → 1 |
| 14D VAL | 115,668 (-2.8%) | 5.9 | 0.4% | 2h | 1.2d ago · 58× | 3% ±12 | building | building | building | building | 0 | 2% ±4 | 2% ±11 | 2% ±20 | 2% | > 7d | — | — | 44 → 1 |
| HVN zone | 106,426.32–109,700.32 (-7.8%) | 17 | 1.3% | 10h | 3.7d ago · 98× | 2% ±11 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 2% ±4 | 2% ±10 | 2% ±16 | 2% | > 7d | — | — | 48 → 1 |
| 30D POC | 107,559.63 (-9.6%) | 20 | 4.2% | 1.4d | 3.5d ago · 63× | 2% ±9 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 2% ±3 | 2% ±8 | 2% ±14 | 2% | > 7d | — | — | 59 → 1 |
| 30D VAL | 98,367.25 (-17.3%) | 37 | <0.1% | 10m | 22.8d ago · 37× | 2% ±9 | building | building | building | building | 0 | 2% ±4 | 2% ±9 | 2% ±15 | 2% | > 7d | — | — | 54 → 1 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAH | short | 118,990.2 | 118,123.3 | 120,018.85 | target | +0.62% |