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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-07-21 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,518 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.46 to 0.13) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 120,597 (+2.4%) | 4.1 | 0.7% | 3h | 3.8d ago · 67× | 32% ±46 | building | building | building | building | 4 | 7% ±10 | 32% ±46 | 56% | 96% | 2.0d | — | — | 25 → 1 |
| 7D VAH | 119,316.75 (+1.4%) | 2.3 | 2.2% | 12h | 4.1d ago · 89× | 52% ±44 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 20% ±14 | 53% ±40 | 82% ±54 | 82% | 1.0d | — | — | 33 → 1 |
| 14D POC · 7D POC | 117,814.5–118,130.23 (+0.1%) | 0.1 | 4.9% | 2.2d | 3.6d ago · 117× | 75% ±42 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 60% ±18 | 77% ±37 | 97% ±25 | 97% | 1h | — | — | 28 → 1 |
| at post · 117,726.7 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D VAH | 117,507.54 (-0.2%) | 0.3 | 4.2% | 1.5d | 9.2d ago · 36× | building | building | building | building | building | 1 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 4 → 1 |
| 7D VAL | 117,049.18 (-0.6%) | 1.0 | 2.5% | 13h | 1.2d ago · 101× | 44% ±69 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 33% ±23 | 46% ±56 | 70% | 70% | 1.1d | — | — | 16 → 1 |
| LVN zone | 113,478.01–115,744.62 (-1.7%) | 2.8 | 0.6% | 3h | 1.4d ago · 47× | 11% ±30 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 7% ±9 | 10% ±26 | 34% ±65 | 41% | > 7d | — | — | 28 → 1 |
| 14D VAL | 115,668 (-1.7%) | 2.9 | 0.5% | 2h | 1.2d ago · 58× | building | building | building | building | building | 0 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 6 → 1 |
| HVN zone | 106,426.32–109,700.32 (-6.8%) | 11 | 1.6% | 12h | 3.7d ago · 98× | 3% ±13 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 3% ±5 | 3% ±12 | 3% ±22 | 3% | > 7d | — | — | 38 → 1 |
| 30D POC | 107,559.63 (-8.6%) | 14 | 5.3% | 1.8d | 3.5d ago · 63× | 2% ±8 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 2% ±3 | 2% ±8 | 2% ±14 | 2% | > 7d | — | — | 62 → 1 |
| 30D VAL | 98,367.25 (-16.4%) | 27 | <0.1% | 13m | 22.8d ago · 37× | 2% ±8 | building | building | building | building | 0 | 2% ±3 | 2% ±7 | 2% ±12 | 2% ±17 | > 7d | — | — | 63 → 2 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | short | 117,726.7 | 117,049.18 | 119,316.75 | target | -0.80% |
| 14d | POC | short | 117,726.7 | 115,668 | 120,597 | expired | -0.80% |