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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-07-26 04:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,518 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.46 to 0.13) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 122,934.2 (+4.7%) | 8.5 | 0.1% | 17m | 8.2d ago · 38× | 18% ±38 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 3% ±6 | 16% ±32 | 46% ±69 | 46% | > 7d | — | — | 32 → 1 |
| 7D VAH · 14D VAH | 119,342.52–119,587.94 (+1.6%) | 2.9 | 2.9% | 15h | 3.8d ago · 89× | 43% ±32 | 69% ±29 | 8% ±17 | 23% ±26 | 10 | 10% ±8 | 41% ±31 | 71% ±51 | 80% | 1.6d | 1.74% | 0.72% | 60 → 1 | |
| 30D POC · 7D POC · 14D POC | 118,087.35–118,422.52 (+0.5%) | 1.0 | 6.4% | 2.2d | 3.6d ago · 117× | 79% ±33 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 55% ±16 | 81% ±31 | 96% ±26 | 96% | 4h | — | — | 38 → 1 |
| at post · 117,469 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL · 14D VAL | 116,739.15–116,864.09 (-0.5%) | 0.9 | 2.8% | 13h | 1.2d ago · 101× | 69% ±41 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 48% ±18 | 69% ±40 | 86% ±47 | 86% | 6h | — | — | 29 → 1 |
| LVN zone | 113,606.3–114,886.6 (-2.2%) | 4.0 | 0.4% | 45m | 1.4d ago · 47× | 23% ±26 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 3% ±4 | 23% ±26 | 57% ±56 | 93% | 2.7d | — | — | 60 → 1 |
| 30D VAL | 109,033.8 (-7.2%) | 13 | 3.3% | 1.1d | 22.8d ago · 37× | 1% ±6 | building | building | building | building | 0 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±5 | 1% ±9 | 1% ±15 | > 7d | — | — | 87 → 2 |
| HVN zone | 107,021.9–109,033.8 (-7.2%) | 13 | 3.3% | 1.1d | 3.7d ago · 98× | 2% ±8 | 62% ±30 | 31% ±29 | 8% ±17 | 10 | 2% ±3 | 2% ±7 | 2% ±12 | 2% ±17 | > 7d | 1.17% | 0.67% | 64 → 2 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.