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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-07-27 04:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,518 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.46 to 0.13) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 122,934.2 (+4.0%) | 19 | <0.1% | 6m | 8.2d ago · 38× | building | building | building | building | building | 3 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 8 → 1 |
| 14D VAH | 119,587.94 (+1.2%) | 5.4 | 0.9% | 5h | 3.8d ago · 67× | 19% ±27 | building | building | building | building | 6 | 4% ±5 | 18% ±25 | 32% ±53 | 52% | 5.3d | — | — | 52 → 1 |
| 7D VAH | 119,342.52 (+1.0%) | 4.5 | 1.1% | 6h | 4.1d ago · 89× | 32% ±26 | 69% ±29 | 8% ±17 | 23% ±26 | 10 | 5% ±5 | 30% ±25 | 73% ±44 | 80% ±56 | 1.9d | 1.74% | 0.72% | 77 → 2 | |
| at post · 118,199.9 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D POC · 14D POC · 30D POC | 118,087.35–118,187.8 (-0.0%) | 0.0 | 2.7% | 1.0d | 3.5d ago · 115× | 89% ±31 | 61% ±28 | 14% ±20 | 25% ±25 | 12 | 70% ±18 | 89% ±31 | 91% | 91% | 2h | 1.44% | 0.38% | 25 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL · 14D VAL | 116,739.15–116,864.09 (-1.1%) | 5.2 | 1.1% | 5h | 1.2d ago · 101× | 14% ±22 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 3% ±4 | 14% ±20 | 20% ±39 | 34% ±66 | > 7d | — | — | 63 → 2 |
| LVN zone | 113,606.3–114,886.6 (-2.8%) | 13 | 0.2% | 17m | 1.4d ago · 47× | building | building | building | building | building | 5 | 8% ±17 | 8% ±38 | 32% | 80% | 4.5d | — | — | 10 → 1 |
| 30D VAL | 109,399.6 (-7.4%) | 34 | 1.1% | 7h | 22.8d ago · 37× | 1% ±7 | building | building | building | building | 0 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±7 | 1% ±12 | 1% ±16 | > 7d | — | — | 69 → 2 |
| HVN zone | 107,204.8–109,216.7 (-7.6%) | 35 | 1.1% | 8h | 3.7d ago · 98× | 5% ±25 | 62% ±30 | 31% ±29 | 8% ±17 | 10 | 4% ±8 | 4% ±20 | 4% | 4% | > 7d | 1.17% | 0.67% | 22 → 1 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | long | 118,199.9 | 119,342.52 | 116,864.09 | target | +0.85% |
| 14d | POC | long | 118,199.9 | 119,587.94 | 116,739.15 | target | +0.85% |