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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-07-28 00:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,518 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.46 to 0.13) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 122,934.2 (+3.1%) | 11 | <0.1% | 9m | 8.2d ago · 38× | 7% ±22 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 3% ±6 | 7% ±22 | 7% ±35 | 7% | > 7d | — | — | 29 → 1 |
| 7D VAH · 14D VAH | 119,511.51–119,587.94 (+0.2%) | 0.8 | 1.5% | 8h | 3.8d ago · 89× | 72% ±39 | 69% ±29 | 8% ±17 | 23% ±26 | 10 | 57% ±18 | 73% ±39 | 92% ±38 | 97% | 2h | 1.74% | 0.72% | 29 → 1 | |
| at post · 119,228.8 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D POC · 14D POC · 30D POC | 118,087.35–118,187.8 (-0.9%) | 3.0 | 4.0% | 1.6d | 3.5d ago · 115× | 42% ±34 | 62% ±26 | 14% ±19 | 24% ±23 | 13 | 15% ±10 | 41% ±34 | 66% ±54 | 66% | 1.0d | 1.41% | 0.37% | 47 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL | 117,033.08 (-1.8%) | 6.3 | 1.8% | 9h | 1.2d ago · 101× | 17% ±23 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 3% ±4 | 16% ±22 | 16% ±36 | 23% ±58 | > 7d | — | — | 63 → 2 |
| 14D VAL | 116,739.15 (-2.1%) | 7.1 | 1.4% | 6h | 1.2d ago · 58× | 2% ±8 | building | building | building | building | 2 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±7 | 8% ±27 | 25% ±60 | > 7d | — | — | 65 → 2 |
| LVN zone | 113,606.3–114,886.6 (-3.6%) | 12 | 0.2% | 23m | 1.4d ago · 47× | 8% ±37 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 5% ±11 | 5% ±25 | 24% | 95% | 4.6d | — | — | 17 → 1 |
| 30D VAL | 109,948.3 (-7.8%) | 26 | 0.4% | 1h | 22.8d ago · 37× | 1% ±6 | building | building | building | building | 0 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±5 | 1% ±9 | 1% ±14 | > 7d | — | — | 92 → 2 |
| HVN zone | 107,387.7–109,216.7 (-8.4%) | 29 | 1.5% | 11h | 3.7d ago · 98× | 3% ±13 | 62% ±30 | 31% ±29 | 8% ±17 | 10 | 2% ±5 | 2% ±11 | 2% ±21 | 2% | > 7d | 1.17% | 0.67% | 41 → 1 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAH | short | 119,228.8 | 118,187.8 | 119,957.63 | target | +1.08% |