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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-07-29 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,518 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.46 to 0.13) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 122,934.2 (+4.4%) | 9.5 | 0.1% | 14m | 8.2d ago · 38× | 6% ±21 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 3% ±5 | 5% ±18 | 5% ±31 | 5% | > 7d | — | — | 38 → 1 |
| 14D VAH · 7D VAH | 119,380.45–119,567.84 (+1.4%) | 3.0 | 2.9% | 18h | 3.8d ago · 89× | 39% ±28 | 71% ±27 | 7% ±15 | 21% ±24 | 11 | 10% ±7 | 37% ±27 | 77% ±41 | 87% ±47 | 1.5d | 1.72% | 0.72% | 74 → 2 | |
| 30D POC · 14D POC · 7D POC | 118,087.35–118,187.8 (+0.3%) | 0.7 | 7.0% | 2.9d | 3.6d ago · 117× | 88% ±23 | 29% ±27 | 14% ±21 | 57% ±29 | 11 | 67% ±13 | 89% ±22 | 97% ±19 | 97% | 1h | 0.60% | 0.88% | 48 → 1 | |
| at post · 117,710.9 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAL · 7D VAL | 117,202.06–117,243.82 (-0.4%) | 0.8 | 4.2% | 1.2d | 1.2d ago · 101× | 64% ±42 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 39% ±17 | 63% ±39 | 78% ±58 | 90% | 11h | — | — | 33 → 1 |
| LVN zone | 113,606.3–114,886.6 (-2.4%) | 5.1 | 0.4% | 37m | 1.4d ago · 47× | 21% ±24 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 3% ±4 | 20% ±23 | 51% ±49 | 93% ±35 | 2.9d | — | — | 69 → 2 |
| 30D VAL | 111,228.6 (-5.5%) | 12 | 1.0% | 8h | 22.8d ago · 37× | 1% ±6 | building | building | building | building | 0 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±5 | 1% ±9 | 1% ±15 | > 7d | — | — | 87 → 2 |
| HVN zone | 107,570.6–109,216.7 (-7.2%) | 15 | 2.4% | 17h | 3.7d ago · 98× | 1% ±6 | 62% ±30 | 31% ±29 | 8% ±17 | 10 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±6 | 1% ±11 | 1% ±15 | > 7d | 1.17% | 0.67% | 80 → 2 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | VAL | long | 117,710.9 | 118,155.03 | 116,859.23 | target | -0.01% |