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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-07-30 08:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,516 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.45 to 0.10) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 122,934.2 (+3.9%) | 9.2 | <0.1% | 13m | 8.2d ago · 38× | 8% ±21 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 2% ±4 | 7% ±19 | 7% ±36 | 7% | > 7d | — | — | 43 → 1 |
| 14D VAH · 7D VAH | 119,317.61–119,348.98 (+0.8%) | 2.0 | 2.8% | 18h | 3.7d ago · 89× | 55% ±33 | 71% ±27 | 7% ±15 | 21% ±24 | 11 | 26% ±12 | 52% ±33 | 82% ±44 | 90% | 1.2d | 1.72% | 0.72% | 56 → 1 | |
| at post · 118,324.7 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D POC · 30D POC · 7D POC | 117,934.18–118,155.03 (-0.1%) | 0.3 | 6.5% | 2.6d | 3.4d ago · 115× | 86% ±26 | 59% ±26 | 12% ±17 | 28% ±24 | 14 | 64% ±14 | 87% ±23 | 92% ±30 | 92% | 2h | 1.36% | 0.40% | 46 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL · 7D VAL | 117,188.2–117,243.82 (-0.9%) | 2.2 | 3.9% | 1.1d | 2.4d ago · 100× | 44% ±34 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 11% ±8 | 51% ±31 | 68% ±53 | 77% | 1.0d | — | — | 57 → 1 |
| LVN zone | 113,606.3–114,886.6 (-2.9%) | 6.9 | 0.3% | 32m | 1.3d ago · 47× | 18% ±23 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 1% ±3 | 17% ±21 | 50% ±49 | 94% ±32 | 2.9d | — | — | 71 → 2 |
| 30D VAL | 112,326 (-5.1%) | 12 | 0.1% | 11m | 22.7d ago · 37× | 1% ±6 | building | building | building | building | 0 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±5 | 1% ±9 | 1% ±14 | > 7d | — | — | 92 → 2 |
| HVN zone | 108,485.1–109,399.6 (-7.5%) | 18 | 2.0% | 14h | 3.6d ago · 98× | 1% ±6 | 62% ±30 | 31% ±29 | 8% ±17 | 10 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±5 | 1% ±9 | 1% ±14 | > 7d | 1.17% | 0.67% | 90 → 2 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | POC | long | 118,324.7 | 119,317.61 | 117,243.82 | stop | +0.19% |
| 30d | POC | long | 118,324.7 | 122,934.2 | 112,326 | expired | +0.19% |