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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-08-01 20:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,516 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.45 to 0.10) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 120,241 (+5.6%) | 7.3 | 1.5% | 9h | 8.2d ago · 38× | 12% ±19 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 1% ±3 | 12% ±18 | 25% ±42 | 25% ±60 | > 7d | — | — | 70 → 2 |
| 14D VAH · 7D VAH | 119,437.65–119,611.03 (+4.9%) | 6.4 | 4.1% | 1.1d | 3.7d ago · 89× | 27% ±29 | 71% ±27 | 7% ±15 | 21% ±24 | 11 | 3% ±4 | 26% ±27 | 60% ±55 | 69% | 3.1d | 1.72% | 0.72% | 62 → 1 | |
| 30D POC · 14D POC · 7D POC | 117,906.5–117,969.78 (+3.5%) | 4.6 | 12.3% | 5.0d | 3.5d ago · 117× | building | 29% ±25 | 16% ±20 | 55% ±27 | 13 | 7% ±14 | 57% ±69 | 86% | 86% | 22h | 0.91% | 0.84% | 13 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL · 14D VAL | 116,529.49–116,778.42 (+2.3%) | 3.0 | 3.8% | 16h | 1.2d ago · 77× | building | building | building | building | building | 3 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 6 → 1 |
| HVN zone | 116,377–119,597 (+2.2%) | 2.8 | 3.3% | 13h | 1.2d ago · 80× | building | building | building | building | building | 5 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 9 → 1 |
| 30D VAL | 114,928 (+0.9%) | 1.2 | 1.9% | 7h | 23.7d ago · 35× | building | building | building | building | building | 0 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 1 → 1 |
| LVN zone | 113,962–114,284 (+0.1%) | 0.1 | 0.6% | 1h | 2.0d ago · 54× | building | building | building | building | building | 3 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 4 → 1 |
| at post · 113,900 | |||||||||||||||||||
| LVN zone | 111,547–113,157 (-0.7%) | 0.9 | 0.7% | 3h | 1.3d ago · 47× | 42% ±48 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 46% ±19 | 50% ±49 | 68% | 96% | 6h | — | — | 26 → 1 |
| HVN zone | 108,488–109,132 (-4.2%) | 5.5 | 3.4% | 1.2d | 3.6d ago · 98× | 22% ±40 | 62% ±30 | 31% ±29 | 8% ±17 | 10 | 4% ±8 | 22% ±40 | 30% | 30% | > 7d | 1.17% | 0.67% | 23 → 1 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.