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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-08-03 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,516 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.45 to 0.10) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 120,724–121,529 (+5.9%) | 15 | 0.4% | 1h | 1.9d ago · 54× | 8% ±37 | building | building | building | building | 4 | 5% ±11 | 5% ±25 | 5% | 5% | > 7d | — | — | 17 → 1 |
| 30D VAH | 119,919 (+5.2%) | 13 | 1.2% | 8h | 8.1d ago · 38× | 2% ±8 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±7 | 1% ±12 | 1% ±17 | > 7d | — | — | 65 → 2 |
| 14D VAH · 7D VAH | 119,539.59–119,573.14 (+4.9%) | 12 | 2.0% | 12h | 3.7d ago · 89× | 19% ±29 | 71% ±27 | 7% ±15 | 21% ±24 | 11 | 4% ±6 | 17% ±26 | 19% ±44 | 40% | > 7d | 1.72% | 0.72% | 46 → 1 | |
| 14D POC | 118,229.83 (+3.8%) | 9.3 | 6.3% | 2.4d | 3.5d ago · 82× | building | 33% ±27 | 20% ±23 | 47% ±28 | 12 | 7% ±15 | 7% ±36 | 7% | 7% | > 7d | 0.81% | 0.81% | 12 → 1 | |
| 7D POC · 30D POC | 117,861.31–117,906.5 (+3.4%) | 8.5 | 6.7% | 2.7d | 3.5d ago · 117× | building | 25% ±24 | 13% ±18 | 63% ±26 | 13 | 6% ±13 | 10% ±41 | 10% | 10% | > 7d | 1.00% | 0.88% | 14 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL | 115,990.55 (+1.8%) | 4.5 | 1.7% | 6h | 1.3d ago · 51× | building | building | building | building | building | 2 | 6% ±12 | 13% ±38 | 13% | 13% | > 7d | — | — | 15 → 1 |
| HVN zone | 115,572–115,894 (+1.4%) | 3.5 | 1.6% | 6h | 1.2d ago · 80× | 23% ±58 | building | building | building | building | 6 | 12% ±17 | 19% ±55 | 70% | 70% | 2.0d | — | — | 14 → 1 |
| 7D VAL · 30D VAL | 114,716.32–114,928 (+0.7%) | 1.7 | 0.8% | 3h | 1.2d ago · 77× | 50% ±69 | building | building | building | building | 4 | 14% ±20 | 49% ±69 | 49% | 49% | > 7d | — | — | 12 → 1 |
| at post · 113,950.1 | |||||||||||||||||||
| LVN zone | 111,547–112,191 (-1.5%) | 3.8 | 0.3% | 1h | 1.3d ago · 47× | 22% ±24 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 4% ±5 | 22% ±23 | 59% ±48 | 96% ±28 | 2.5d | — | — | 70 → 2 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.