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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-08-05 00:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,516 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.45 to 0.10) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 120,756–121,392 (+5.2%) | 14 | 0.4% | 1h | 2.0d ago · 54× | 4% ±20 | building | building | building | building | 4 | 3% ±7 | 3% ±16 | 3% ±25 | 3% | > 7d | — | — | 27 → 1 |
| 30D VAH | 119,802 (+4.3%) | 12 | 1.3% | 8h | 8.2d ago · 38× | 3% ±9 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 1% ±2 | 3% ±9 | 3% ±16 | 3% ±22 | > 7d | — | — | 77 → 2 |
| 14D VAH | 119,539.59 (+4.1%) | 11 | 1.8% | 11h | 3.7d ago · 67× | 15% ±23 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 3% ±5 | 14% ±21 | 16% ±41 | 45% | > 7d | — | — | 59 → 1 |
| 7D VAH | 119,036.44 (+3.7%) | 9.9 | 3.4% | 23h | 4.0d ago · 89× | 23% ±31 | 71% ±27 | 7% ±15 | 21% ±24 | 11 | 4% ±6 | 21% ±28 | 47% ±56 | 47% | > 7d | 1.72% | 0.72% | 47 → 1 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC · 30D POC | 117,814–118,132.5 (+2.6%) | 7.0 | 5.9% | 2.3d | 3.5d ago · 117× | 10% ±34 | 29% ±25 | 16% ±20 | 55% ±27 | 13 | 4% ±8 | 8% ±27 | 12% | 12% | > 7d | 0.91% | 0.84% | 24 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL | 115,399.04 (+0.5%) | 1.3 | 1.6% | 6h | 1.3d ago · 51× | building | building | building | building | building | 2 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 8 → 1 |
| HVN zone | 115,191–115,350 (+0.3%) | 0.8 | 1.5% | 8h | 1.2d ago · 80× | 73% ±43 | building | building | building | building | 6 | 57% ±19 | 73% ±44 | 81% | 81% | 1h | — | — | 26 → 1 |
| 30D VAL | 114,873 (+0.0%) | 0.1 | 1.2% | 8h | 23.7d ago · 35× | building | building | building | building | building | 1 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 3 → 1 |
| at post · 114,837.5 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 114,368.96 (-0.4%) | 1.1 | 0.9% | 10h | 3.2d ago · 100× | 67% ±33 | 46% ±31 | 15% ±22 | 38% ±30 | 10 | 38% ±13 | 67% ±31 | 79% ±46 | 86% | 8h | 1.33% | 0.76% | 53 → 1 | |
| LVN zone | 111,534–112,488 (-2.0%) | 5.5 | 0.4% | 2h | 1.3d ago · 47× | 23% ±22 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 3% ±4 | 22% ±21 | 60% ±43 | 95% ±29 | 2.5d | — | — | 92 → 2 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30d | VAL | short | 114,837.5 | 113,680.5 | 118,132.5 | target | +0.87% |