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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-08-05 12:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,518 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.46 to 0.13) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 120,756–121,392 (+6.0%) | 14 | 0.5% | 1h | 2.1d ago · 54× | 4% ±19 | building | building | building | building | 4 | 3% ±6 | 3% ±15 | 3% ±24 | 3% | > 7d | — | — | 30 → 1 |
| 14D VAH · 30D VAH | 119,624.09–119,802 (+5.0%) | 11 | 1.9% | 11h | 3.8d ago · 67× | 7% ±15 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 2% ±3 | 7% ±14 | 8% ±26 | 20% ±56 | > 7d | — | — | 80 → 2 |
| 14D POC · 30D POC | 117,976.32–118,132.5 (+3.6%) | 8.1 | 7.4% | 3.0d | 3.6d ago · 82× | 5% ±25 | 33% ±27 | 20% ±23 | 47% ±28 | 12 | 4% ±8 | 4% ±19 | 4% | 4% | > 7d | 0.81% | 0.81% | 24 → 1 | |
| 7D VAH | 117,284 (+3.0%) | 6.7 | 4.5% | 1.4d | 4.1d ago · 89× | 26% ±26 | 71% ±27 | 7% ±15 | 21% ±24 | 11 | 3% ±4 | 25% ±26 | 62% ±48 | 63% ±67 | 2.3d | 1.72% | 0.72% | 68 → 2 | |
| 14D VAL | 115,230.04 (+1.2%) | 2.6 | 1.8% | 9h | 1.4d ago · 51× | 20% ±55 | building | building | building | building | 2 | 5% ±10 | 26% ±50 | 26% | 26% | > 7d | — | — | 19 → 1 |
| HVN zone | 115,191–115,350 (+1.1%) | 2.6 | 1.8% | 9h | 1.3d ago · 80× | 28% ±51 | building | building | building | building | 6 | 8% ±11 | 39% ±48 | 63% | 63% | 1.7d | — | — | 23 → 1 |
| 30D VAL · 7D POC | 114,714–114,745.75 (+0.7%) | 1.6 | 1.6% | 12h | 4.0d ago · 117× | 76% ±37 | 25% ±24 | 13% ±18 | 63% ±26 | 13 | 34% ±16 | 73% ±36 | 96% ±27 | 96% | 8h | 1.00% | 0.88% | 33 → 1 | |
| at post · 113,897 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 112,493.5 (-1.2%) | 2.8 | 0.5% | 2h | 1.2d ago · 101× | 49% ±28 | 50% ±30 | 14% ±21 | 36% ±28 | 11 | 8% ±6 | 49% ±27 | 65% ±47 | 71% ±63 | 1.0d | 1.28% | 0.51% | 75 → 2 | |
| LVN zone | 111,534–112,488 (-1.2%) | 2.8 | 0.5% | 2h | 1.4d ago · 47× | 24% ±28 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 14% ±9 | 23% ±28 | 51% ±57 | 94% | 3.0d | — | — | 54 → 1 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | short | 113,897 | 112,493.5 | 117,284 | expired | +0.02% |
| 30d | VAL | short | 113,897 | 113,680.5 | 118,132.5 | target | +0.02% |