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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-09-28 05:00 UTC
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ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,404 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0037), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.23 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 2,779.77 (+4.9%) | 8.5 | 0.3% | 2h | 1.6d ago · 69× | 10% ±4 | 56% ±10 | 6% ±5 | 38% ±10 | 93 | 1% ±0 | 10% ±4 | 29% ±11 | 47% ±19 | > 7d | 2.00% | 1.22% | 1104 → 26 | |
| 7D VAH | 2,738.08 (+3.3%) | 5.8 | 1.6% | 9h | 1.5d ago · 97× | 20% ±6 | 52% ±9 | 4% ±4 | 43% ±9 | 119 | 2% ±1 | 20% ±6 | 39% ±12 | 57% ±19 | 5.1d | 2.27% | 1.61% | 1105 → 26 | |
| 14D POC · 7D POC | 2,683.08–2,690.18 (+1.2%) | 2.2 | 2.3% | 1.1d | 3.0d ago · 103× | 50% ±12 | 42% ±8 | 10% ±5 | 48% ±8 | 144 | 15% ±3 | 50% ±12 | 71% ±18 | 80% ±25 | 1.1d | 1.99% | 1.39% | 429 → 10 | |
| at post · 2,650.1 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 2,645.89 (-0.2%) | 0.3 | 1.4% | 8h | 4.0d ago · 84× | 86% ±10 | 57% ±9 | 7% ±5 | 36% ±9 | 119 | 68% ±6 | 86% ±10 | 91% ±14 | 93% ±20 | 1h | 2.27% | 1.31% | 269 → 6 | |
| 30D VAH | 2,612.55 (-1.4%) | 2.5 | 0.9% | 4h | 4.2d ago · 38× | 49% ±20 | 38% ±14 | 16% ±10 | 46% ±14 | 47 | 15% ±6 | 49% ±20 | 71% ±31 | 85% ±41 | 1.1d | 1.63% | 1.50% | 143 → 3 | |
| LVN zone | 2,585.46–2,612.55 (-1.4%) | 2.5 | 0.9% | 4h | 13.4d ago · 46× | 49% ±15 | 53% ±13 | 10% ±8 | 37% ±13 | 56 | 14% ±4 | 49% ±15 | 63% ±24 | 66% ±38 | 1.1d | 2.37% | 1.67% | 267 → 6 | |
| HVN zone | 2,436.42–2,522.23 (-4.8%) | 8.4 | 2.1% | 22h | 1.7d ago · 84× | 7% ±5 | 48% ±9 | 23% ±7 | 29% ±8 | 132 | 1% ±1 | 7% ±5 | 21% ±14 | 33% ±26 | > 7d | 1.91% | 1.51% | 551 → 13 | |
| 30D POC · 14D VAL | 2,505.42–2,506.42 (-5.4%) | 9.4 | 4.5% | 1.3d | 1.3d ago · 72× | 7% ±4 | 51% ±10 | 7% ±5 | 42% ±10 | 95 | 1% ±0 | 7% ±4 | 24% ±11 | 43% ±19 | > 7d | 2.15% | 1.40% | 1040 → 25 | |
| 30D VAL | 2,368.67 (-10.6%) | 18 | 0.6% | 2h | 20.0d ago · 30× | 1% ±2 | 54% ±15 | 4% ±6 | 42% ±14 | 45 | 0% ±0 | 1% ±2 | 6% ±6 | 17% ±15 | > 7d | 2.94% | 1.37% | 1006 → 24 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.