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BTC · 1h · posted 2026-09-28 06:00 UTC
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BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,470 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.39 to 0.13) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 87,260.34 (+5.0%) | 10 | <0.1% | 21m | 1.2d ago · 67× | 7% ±4 | 50% ±10 | 11% ±6 | 39% ±10 | 91 | 0% ±0 | 7% ±4 | 18% ±10 | 33% ±19 | > 7d | 1.35% | 0.85% | 1020 → 24 | |
| 7D VAH | 85,778.09 (+3.2%) | 6.7 | 1.5% | 7h | 1.4d ago · 89× | 13% ±5 | 50% ±9 | 8% ±5 | 42% ±9 | 118 | 1% ±1 | 13% ±5 | 35% ±12 | 52% ±19 | 6.7d | 1.41% | 1.01% | 1107 → 26 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC | 84,022.28–84,079.04 (+1.1%) | 2.3 | 2.5% | 1.1d | 5.9d ago · 116× | 50% ±12 | 43% ±8 | 10% ±5 | 47% ±8 | 152 | 16% ±4 | 50% ±12 | 79% ±17 | 86% ±22 | 1.0d | 1.41% | 0.98% | 392 → 9 | |
| HVN zone | 84,016.66–84,266.18 (+1.1%) | 2.3 | 2.5% | 1.1d | 1.7d ago · 78× | 60% ±12 | 53% ±9 | 21% ±7 | 26% ±8 | 117 | 20% ±4 | 60% ±12 | 82% ±16 | 92% ±18 | 17h | 1.55% | 1.11% | 384 → 9 | |
| 7D VAL | 83,278.29 (+0.2%) | 0.4 | 0.7% | 3h | 7.1d ago · 75× | 88% ±11 | 47% ±11 | 8% ±6 | 45% ±11 | 86 | 74% ±6 | 88% ±11 | 93% ±15 | 96% ±17 | 1h | 1.54% | 1.01% | 200 → 5 | |
| at post · 83,124.8 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D VAH | 81,396.76 (-2.1%) | 4.4 | 1.5% | 12h | 5.9d ago · 36× | 33% ±14 | 44% ±14 | 10% ±9 | 46% ±14 | 47 | 5% ±3 | 33% ±14 | 62% ±25 | 72% ±36 | 1.8d | 1.52% | 0.91% | 259 → 6 | |
| HVN zone | 81,022.49–81,272.01 (-2.2%) | 4.7 | 2.4% | 21h | 1.7d ago · 98× | 27% ±9 | 55% ±8 | 18% ±6 | 27% ±7 | 149 | 4% ±1 | 27% ±9 | 51% ±17 | 68% ±24 | 3.0d | 1.42% | 0.94% | 620 → 15 | |
| 14D VAL | 78,153.08 (-6.0%) | 13 | 3.4% | 1.3d | 20.0d ago · 56× | 3% ±2 | 43% ±11 | 6% ±6 | 51% ±11 | 74 | 0% ±0 | 3% ±2 | 12% ±8 | 26% ±17 | > 7d | 1.26% | 1.33% | 1049 → 25 | |
| 30D POC | 77,217.4 (-7.1%) | 15 | 4.3% | 2.2d | 4.6d ago · 62× | 2% ±3 | 49% ±10 | 11% ±6 | 40% ±10 | 91 | 0% ±0 | 2% ±3 | 10% ±12 | 39% ±29 | > 7d | 1.53% | 0.97% | 448 → 11 | |
| 30D VAL | 75,533.19 (-9.1%) | 19 | 0.9% | 4h | 19.5d ago · 37× | 1% ±2 | 46% ±13 | 8% ±7 | 46% ±13 | 58 | 0% ±0 | 1% ±2 | 7% ±6 | 16% ±15 | > 7d | 1.41% | 1.28% | 1012 → 24 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.