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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-08-07 00:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,516 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.45 to 0.10) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 120,915–121,233 (+5.3%) | 13 | 0.3% | 51m | 1.9d ago · 54× | 3% ±13 | building | building | building | building | 4 | 2% ±5 | 2% ±11 | 2% ±21 | 2% | > 7d | — | — | 39 → 1 |
| 30D VAH | 119,802 (+4.3%) | 11 | 1.4% | 8h | 8.1d ago · 38× | 2% ±8 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 1% ±2 | 2% ±8 | 2% ±13 | 2% ±21 | > 7d | — | — | 88 → 2 |
| 14D VAH | 119,334.28 (+3.9%) | 9.5 | 2.6% | 16h | 3.7d ago · 67× | 14% ±20 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 3% ±4 | 13% ±18 | 16% ±36 | 37% ±67 | > 7d | — | — | 76 → 2 |
| 14D POC · 30D POC | 117,940.93–118,132.5 (+2.7%) | 6.6 | 6.9% | 2.8d | 3.5d ago · 82× | 7% ±22 | 33% ±27 | 20% ±23 | 47% ±28 | 12 | 3% ±6 | 6% ±19 | 7% ±36 | 7% | > 7d | 0.81% | 0.81% | 34 → 1 | |
| 7D VAH | 115,591.8 (+0.6%) | 1.6 | 1.7% | 7h | 4.0d ago · 89× | 58% ±32 | 71% ±27 | 7% ±15 | 21% ±24 | 11 | 35% ±13 | 59% ±32 | 78% ±47 | 78% | 19h | 1.72% | 0.72% | 53 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL | 114,873 (+0.0%) | 0.1 | 1.8% | 13h | 23.7d ago · 35× | building | building | building | building | building | 3 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 4 → 1 |
| HVN zone | 114,873–115,509 (+0.0%) | 0.1 | 1.8% | 13h | 1.2d ago · 80× | 80% ±45 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 80% ±18 | 80% ±45 | 90% | 90% | 1h | — | — | 18 → 1 |
| at post · 114,847.2 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAL | 114,716.32 (-0.1%) | 0.3 | 1.6% | 12h | 2.3d ago · 57× | 67% ±65 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 64% ±27 | 71% ±63 | 79% | 93% | 2h | — | — | 12 → 1 |
| 7D POC | 113,862.1 (-0.9%) | 2.1 | 1.7% | 17h | 3.5d ago · 115× | 73% ±31 | 47% ±24 | 11% ±15 | 42% ±24 | 16 | 35% ±13 | 73% ±31 | 94% ±27 | 94% | 9h | 1.28% | 0.51% | 49 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL | 113,120.8 (-1.5%) | 3.7 | 1.1% | 6h | 3.2d ago · 100× | 38% ±25 | 47% ±28 | 13% ±19 | 40% ±28 | 12 | 7% ±5 | 37% ±24 | 53% ±44 | 62% ±67 | 2.7d | 1.28% | 0.76% | 94 → 2 | |
| LVN zone | 112,170–112,329 (-2.2%) | 5.4 | 0.3% | 2h | 1.3d ago · 47× | 27% ±22 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 4% ±4 | 26% ±21 | 59% ±39 | 95% ±29 | 2.5d | — | — | 101 → 2 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30d | VAL | short | 114,847.2 | 114,316.5 | 118,132.5 | target | -2.06% |