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BTC · 1h · posted 2026-09-28 14:00 UTC
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BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,467 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.42 to 0.06) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 87,260.34 (+5.1%) | 9.6 | 0.1% | 23m | 1.5d ago · 67× | 9% ±4 | 50% ±10 | 11% ±6 | 39% ±10 | 91 | 1% ±1 | 9% ±4 | 22% ±11 | 38% ±19 | > 7d | 1.35% | 0.85% | 1015 → 24 | |
| 7D VAH | 85,675.35 (+3.2%) | 6.0 | 1.5% | 7h | 1.3d ago · 89× | 16% ±5 | 50% ±9 | 8% ±5 | 42% ±9 | 118 | 1% ±1 | 16% ±5 | 40% ±12 | 56% ±19 | 5.7d | 1.41% | 1.01% | 1094 → 26 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC | 84,038.88–84,079.04 (+1.3%) | 2.4 | 2.8% | 1.3d | 5.7d ago · 116× | 49% ±12 | 43% ±8 | 10% ±5 | 47% ±8 | 152 | 15% ±4 | 49% ±12 | 78% ±17 | 86% ±23 | 1.1d | 1.41% | 0.98% | 394 → 9 | |
| HVN zone | 84,016.66–84,266.18 (+1.2%) | 2.3 | 2.8% | 1.3d | 1.5d ago · 78× | 60% ±12 | 53% ±9 | 21% ±7 | 26% ±8 | 117 | 20% ±4 | 60% ±12 | 82% ±16 | 92% ±18 | 17h | 1.55% | 1.11% | 392 → 9 | |
| at post · 82,990.5 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 82,793.2 (-0.2%) | 0.4 | 0.5% | 2h | 5.8d ago · 99× | 80% ±11 | 55% ±9 | 6% ±4 | 40% ±9 | 123 | 59% ±5 | 80% ±11 | 90% ±14 | 93% ±19 | 2h | 1.47% | 1.25% | 313 → 7 | |
| 30D VAH | 81,521.52 (-1.8%) | 3.3 | 1.1% | 8h | 5.6d ago · 36× | 47% ±16 | 44% ±14 | 10% ±9 | 46% ±14 | 47 | 9% ±4 | 46% ±16 | 75% ±23 | 83% ±33 | 1.1d | 1.52% | 0.91% | 230 → 5 | |
| HVN zone | 81,022.49–81,272.01 (-2.1%) | 3.9 | 2.6% | 23h | 1.5d ago · 98× | 34% ±9 | 55% ±8 | 18% ±6 | 27% ±7 | 149 | 6% ±2 | 33% ±9 | 55% ±17 | 70% ±24 | 2.3d | 1.42% | 0.94% | 594 → 14 | |
| 14D VAL | 78,776.87 (-5.1%) | 9.4 | 3.5% | 1.1d | 19.7d ago · 56× | 5% ±3 | 43% ±11 | 6% ±6 | 51% ±11 | 74 | 0% ±0 | 5% ±3 | 16% ±9 | 32% ±18 | > 7d | 1.26% | 1.33% | 1053 → 25 | |
| 30D POC | 77,217.4 (-7.0%) | 13 | 4.8% | 2.4d | 4.3d ago · 62× | 4% ±4 | 49% ±10 | 11% ±6 | 40% ±10 | 91 | 0% ±0 | 4% ±4 | 12% ±13 | 41% ±29 | > 7d | 1.53% | 0.97% | 473 → 11 | |
| 30D VAL | 75,533.19 (-9.0%) | 17 | 1.0% | 5h | 19.2d ago · 37× | 1% ±2 | 46% ±13 | 8% ±7 | 46% ±13 | 58 | 0% ±0 | 1% ±2 | 8% ±7 | 18% ±15 | > 7d | 1.41% | 1.28% | 1072 → 26 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.