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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-08-07 08:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,518 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.46 to 0.13) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 120,858.56–121,316.33 (+5.2%) | 13 | 0.3% | 59m | 2.0d ago · 54× | 3% ±13 | building | building | building | building | 4 | 2% ±5 | 2% ±11 | 2% ±21 | 2% | > 7d | — | — | 41 → 1 |
| 30D VAH | 119,790.43 (+4.2%) | 11 | 1.4% | 8h | 8.2d ago · 38× | 2% ±8 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 1% ±2 | 2% ±7 | 2% ±13 | 2% ±20 | > 7d | — | — | 89 → 2 |
| 14D VAH | 119,334.28 (+3.8%) | 9.7 | 2.5% | 16h | 3.7d ago · 67× | 14% ±19 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 3% ±4 | 13% ±18 | 15% ±35 | 35% ±66 | > 7d | — | — | 77 → 2 |
| 30D POC · 14D POC | 117,883.06–117,940.93 (+2.6%) | 6.5 | 6.6% | 2.7d | 3.6d ago · 82× | 6% ±22 | 33% ±27 | 20% ±23 | 47% ±28 | 12 | 3% ±5 | 6% ±18 | 7% ±36 | 7% | > 7d | 0.81% | 0.81% | 36 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 116,433.45–119,637.84 (+1.3%) | 3.3 | 2.0% | 8h | 1.2d ago · 80× | 33% ±46 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 6% ±8 | 44% ±40 | 75% ±60 | 75% | 1.1d | — | — | 33 → 1 |
| 7D VAH | 115,490 (+0.5%) | 1.3 | 1.8% | 8h | 4.1d ago · 89× | 59% ±34 | 71% ±27 | 7% ±15 | 21% ±24 | 11 | 40% ±14 | 59% ±34 | 75% ±49 | 75% | 17h | 1.72% | 0.72% | 50 → 1 | |
| at post · 114,913.3 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D VAL · 7D POC · 14D VAL | 114,636.7–114,907.55 (-0.0%) | 0.0 | 1.9% | 14h | 1.2d ago · 115× | 84% ±29 | 47% ±24 | 11% ±15 | 42% ±24 | 16 | 65% ±15 | 85% ±26 | 90% ±41 | 95% | 2h | 1.28% | 0.51% | 41 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL | 113,180 (-1.5%) | 3.8 | 1.1% | 6h | 1.2d ago · 101× | 37% ±24 | 47% ±28 | 13% ±19 | 40% ±28 | 12 | 7% ±5 | 35% ±23 | 52% ±44 | 60% ±68 | 2.8d | 1.28% | 0.76% | 94 → 2 | |
| LVN zone | 112,160.93–112,313.52 (-2.3%) | 5.7 | 0.3% | 1h | 1.4d ago · 47× | 25% ±21 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 3% ±3 | 25% ±21 | 59% ±43 | 95% ±30 | 2.5d | — | — | 98 → 2 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | long | 114,913.3 | 115,490 | 113,180 | target | +1.44% |
| 14d | VAL | long | 114,913.3 | 117,940.93 | 113,791.14 | expired | +1.44% |
| 30d | VAL | long | 114,913.3 | 117,883.06 | 114,028.63 | expired | +1.44% |