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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-09-29 05:00 UTC
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ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,405 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0036), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.21 to 0.48) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 2,784.27 (+4.1%) | 5.3 | 0.3% | 2h | 1.8d ago · 69× | 19% ±7 | 56% ±10 | 6% ±5 | 38% ±10 | 93 | 2% ±1 | 19% ±7 | 43% ±15 | 64% ±22 | 3.9d | 2.00% | 1.22% | 792 → 19 | |
| 7D VAH | 2,715.01 (+1.5%) | 1.9 | 1.7% | 9h | 1.2d ago · 97× | 51% ±11 | 52% ±9 | 4% ±4 | 43% ±9 | 119 | 20% ±3 | 50% ±11 | 70% ±17 | 86% ±20 | 1.0d | 2.27% | 1.61% | 507 → 12 | |
| 14D POC · 7D POC | 2,683.08–2,689.92 (+0.3%) | 0.4 | 3.6% | 1.7d | 3.1d ago · 103× | 88% ±7 | 43% ±8 | 10% ±5 | 48% ±8 | 145 | 72% ±4 | 88% ±7 | 93% ±10 | 96% ±11 | 1h | 2.00% | 1.38% | 469 → 11 | |
| HVN zone | 2,680.3–2,689.33 (+0.2%) | 0.2 | 3.3% | 1.3d | 6.8d ago · 82× | 88% ±10 | 54% ±9 | 22% ±8 | 25% ±8 | 111 | 73% ±6 | 89% ±10 | 93% ±13 | 96% ±16 | 1h | 1.94% | 1.53% | 243 → 6 | |
| at post · 2,675.4 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 2,645.43 (-1.1%) | 1.5 | 2.2% | 15h | 4.1d ago · 84× | 60% ±11 | 56% ±9 | 7% ±5 | 37% ±9 | 120 | 34% ±4 | 60% ±11 | 76% ±16 | 83% ±22 | 10h | 2.29% | 1.29% | 480 → 11 | |
| 30D VAH | 2,630.62 (-1.7%) | 2.2 | 1.6% | 14h | 4.4d ago · 38× | 53% ±21 | 38% ±14 | 16% ±10 | 46% ±14 | 47 | 19% ±7 | 52% ±20 | 76% ±30 | 88% ±37 | 22h | 1.63% | 1.50% | 137 → 3 | |
| LVN zone | 2,585.46–2,612.55 (-2.3%) | 3.1 | 1.1% | 5h | 13.5d ago · 46× | 40% ±14 | 53% ±13 | 10% ±8 | 37% ±13 | 56 | 9% ±3 | 40% ±14 | 56% ±24 | 58% ±37 | 2.0d | 2.37% | 1.67% | 300 → 7 | |
| 14D VAL | 2,554.89 (-4.5%) | 5.9 | 0.7% | 2h | 4.3d ago · 58× | 13% ±5 | 48% ±11 | 5% ±5 | 48% ±11 | 77 | 2% ±1 | 13% ±5 | 35% ±13 | 60% ±20 | 4.9d | 2.16% | 1.75% | 973 → 23 | |
| HVN zone | 2,436.42–2,522.23 (-5.7%) | 7.5 | 2.7% | 1.1d | 1.8d ago · 84× | 9% ±6 | 48% ±9 | 23% ±7 | 29% ±8 | 132 | 1% ±1 | 9% ±6 | 24% ±15 | 36% ±26 | > 7d | 1.91% | 1.51% | 563 → 13 | |
| 30D POC | 2,506.42 (-6.3%) | 8.2 | 5.8% | 1.8d | 1.4d ago · 72× | 12% ±7 | 54% ±10 | 9% ±6 | 37% ±10 | 95 | 1% ±1 | 11% ±7 | 31% ±16 | 47% ±27 | > 7d | 2.14% | 1.12% | 551 → 13 | |
| 30D VAL | 2,368.67 (-11.5%) | 15 | 0.7% | 2h | 20.2d ago · 30× | 2% ±2 | 54% ±15 | 4% ±6 | 42% ±14 | 45 | 0% ±0 | 2% ±2 | 9% ±7 | 21% ±15 | > 7d | 2.94% | 1.37% | 1132 → 27 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.