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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-09-29 13:00 UTC
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ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,404 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0037), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.23 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 2,779.77 (+2.0%) | 2.4 | 0.4% | 3h | 1.6d ago · 69× | 55% ±13 | 56% ±10 | 6% ±5 | 38% ±10 | 93 | 21% ±4 | 55% ±13 | 72% ±20 | 84% ±25 | 20h | 2.00% | 1.22% | 355 → 8 | |
| at post · 2,725.66 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAH | 2,713.39 (-0.5%) | 0.6 | 2.1% | 14h | 1.7d ago · 64× | 91% ±10 | 46% ±11 | 5% ±5 | 49% ±11 | 78 | 68% ±7 | 91% ±10 | 95% ±14 | 97% ±17 | 2h | 1.68% | 2.08% | 181 → 4 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC | 2,683.08–2,689.92 (-1.3%) | 1.6 | 4.0% | 2.1d | 1.3d ago · 106× | 65% ±11 | 50% ±8 | 12% ±5 | 38% ±8 | 161 | 31% ±4 | 65% ±11 | 80% ±16 | 88% ±20 | 11h | 1.96% | 1.38% | 440 → 10 | |
| HVN zone | 2,680.3–2,689.33 (-1.3%) | 1.6 | 4.1% | 2.2d | 1.7d ago · 84× | 65% ±11 | 48% ±9 | 23% ±7 | 29% ±8 | 132 | 31% ±5 | 65% ±11 | 79% ±17 | 86% ±21 | 10h | 1.91% | 1.51% | 406 → 10 | |
| 7D VAL · 30D VAH | 2,639.65–2,645.43 (-2.9%) | 3.6 | 2.3% | 16h | 4.0d ago · 84× | 29% ±7 | 51% ±9 | 10% ±5 | 39% ±9 | 120 | 6% ±2 | 29% ±7 | 54% ±14 | 66% ±20 | 2.5d | 2.11% | 1.35% | 917 → 22 | |
| LVN zone | 2,585.46–2,612.55 (-4.1%) | 5.1 | 1.2% | 6h | 13.4d ago · 46× | 21% ±10 | 53% ±13 | 10% ±8 | 37% ±13 | 56 | 3% ±2 | 21% ±10 | 38% ±21 | 46% ±35 | > 7d | 2.37% | 1.67% | 351 → 8 | |
| 14D VAL | 2,577.38 (-5.4%) | 6.7 | 1.5% | 11h | 4.2d ago · 58× | 12% ±5 | 48% ±11 | 5% ±5 | 48% ±11 | 77 | 1% ±1 | 12% ±5 | 34% ±12 | 58% ±20 | 5.3d | 2.16% | 1.75% | 1012 → 24 | |
| 30D POC | 2,506.42 (-8.0%) | 9.8 | 6.2% | 2.0d | 1.3d ago · 72× | 6% ±5 | 54% ±10 | 9% ±6 | 37% ±10 | 95 | 0% ±0 | 6% ±5 | 20% ±14 | 35% ±25 | > 7d | 2.14% | 1.12% | 590 → 14 | |
| 30D VAL | 2,368.67 (-13.1%) | 16 | 0.7% | 2h | 20.0d ago · 30× | 2% ±2 | 54% ±15 | 4% ±6 | 42% ±14 | 45 | 0% ±0 | 2% ±2 | 8% ±7 | 20% ±15 | > 7d | 2.94% | 1.37% | 1091 → 26 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.