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TSLA · 1h · posted 2026-09-29 17:30 UTC
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TSLA · these odds carry no usable signal 1,770 tests, 27% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.197, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0023), and their calibration slope is -0.09 (95% -0.36 to 0.26) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH | 386.83 (+9.2%) | 8.4 | 0.4% | 10m | 4.5d ago · 68× | 3% ±8 | 35% ±10 | 42% ±11 | 23% ±9 | 80 | 2% ±3 | 3% ±8 | 13% ±27 | 29% ±63 | > 7d | 2.01% | 1.20% | 102 → 2 | |
| 14D VAH | 381.556 (+7.7%) | 7.1 | 2.9% | 5h | 18.5d ago · 52× | 1% ±4 | 41% ±12 | 29% ±11 | 30% ±12 | 60 | 0% ±1 | 1% ±4 | 10% ±17 | 27% ±39 | > 7d | 2.10% | 1.20% | 220 → 5 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC | 379.2706 (+7.1%) | 6.5 | 6.1% | 13h | 1.5d ago · 81× | 13% ±16 | 32% ±9 | 37% ±9 | 31% ±9 | 100 | 2% ±2 | 13% ±16 | 25% ±35 | 51% ±57 | 6.9d | 1.70% | 1.01% | 110 → 3 | |
| 30D VAH | 371.3548 (+4.8%) | 4.4 | 3.9% | 4h | 4.3d ago · 39× | 9% ±9 | 18% ±12 | 38% ±15 | 44% ±15 | 42 | 1% ±1 | 9% ±9 | 21% ±21 | 33% ±38 | > 7d | 1.30% | 1.56% | 253 → 6 | |
| 30D POC | 365.998 (+3.3%) | 3.0 | 9.9% | 16h | 18.3d ago · 32× | 11% ±13 | 30% ±14 | 30% ±14 | 40% ±15 | 40 | 1% ±2 | 11% ±13 | 25% ±30 | 41% ±56 | > 7d | 1.49% | 1.10% | 143 → 3 | |
| 7D VAL · 14D VAL | 361.8664–362.218 (+2.2%) | 2.0 | 8.1% | 11h | 4.5d ago · 52× | 43% ±31 | 21% ±11 | 38% ±13 | 41% ±13 | 55 | 14% ±9 | 43% ±31 | 75% ±49 | 90% | 1.2d | 1.40% | 1.68% | 57 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 359.054–360.2444 (+1.4%) | 1.3 | 6.8% | 9h | 4.5d ago · 61× | 58% ±17 | 31% ±10 | 40% ±10 | 30% ±10 | 85 | 29% ±7 | 58% ±17 | 70% ±29 | 79% ±40 | 22h | 1.64% | 0.93% | 187 → 4 | |
| at post · 354.2 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 353.102–353.8956 (-0.1%) | 0.1 | 5.7% | 10h | 5.3d ago · 68× | 81% ±16 | 31% ±10 | 35% ±10 | 34% ±10 | 85 | 64% ±8 | 81% ±16 | 88% ±24 | 93% ±30 | 1h | 1.71% | 1.13% | 133 → 3 | |
| 30D VAL | 351.9116 (-0.6%) | 0.6 | 3.0% | 6h | 6.3d ago · 44× | 68% ±20 | 27% ±12 | 44% ±13 | 29% ±12 | 52 | 44% ±9 | 68% ±19 | 80% ±29 | 85% ±40 | 18h | 1.76% | 1.04% | 131 → 3 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.