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BTC · 1h · posted 2026-09-29 22:00 UTC
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BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,469 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0010), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.41 to 0.04) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 87,261.5 (+4.4%) | 8.7 | 0.1% | 22m | 1.6d ago · 67× | 11% ±5 | 50% ±10 | 11% ±6 | 39% ±10 | 91 | 1% ±1 | 11% ±5 | 25% ±11 | 42% ±20 | > 7d | 1.35% | 0.85% | 1014 → 24 | |
| LVN zone | 85,014.72–85,264.23 (+1.7%) | 3.4 | 0.8% | 3h | 6.7d ago · 53× | 33% ±13 | 53% ±12 | 15% ±8 | 32% ±11 | 69 | 7% ±3 | 32% ±12 | 54% ±23 | 67% ±33 | 2.3d | 1.99% | 0.74% | 330 → 8 | |
| 7D VAH | 84,683.81 (+1.3%) | 2.6 | 1.5% | 11h | 1.3d ago · 89× | 40% ±9 | 50% ±9 | 8% ±5 | 42% ±9 | 118 | 10% ±2 | 39% ±9 | 63% ±16 | 75% ±22 | 1.7d | 1.41% | 1.01% | 618 → 15 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC | 83,995.47–84,109.67 (+0.5%) | 1.0 | 3.1% | 1.4d | 5.8d ago · 116× | 78% ±9 | 43% ±8 | 10% ±5 | 47% ±8 | 153 | 56% ±4 | 78% ±9 | 90% ±11 | 95% ±13 | 3h | 1.43% | 0.98% | 508 → 12 | |
| HVN zone | 83,891.9–84,390.93 (+0.4%) | 0.8 | 2.7% | 1.0d | 1.6d ago · 78× | 84% ±9 | 54% ±9 | 21% ±7 | 26% ±8 | 118 | 61% ±5 | 84% ±9 | 92% ±12 | 95% ±14 | 2h | 1.54% | 1.11% | 395 → 9 | |
| at post · 83,574.9 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 83,117.24 (-0.5%) | 1.1 | 1.4% | 9h | 5.9d ago · 99× | 71% ±10 | 54% ±9 | 6% ±4 | 40% ±9 | 124 | 43% ±4 | 71% ±10 | 85% ±14 | 88% ±19 | 6h | 1.47% | 1.21% | 480 → 11 | |
| LVN zone | 81,521.52–82,893.85 (-0.8%) | 1.6 | 1.0% | 6h | 6.9d ago · 46× | 61% ±16 | 41% ±12 | 13% ±8 | 46% ±13 | 60 | 28% ±6 | 61% ±16 | 83% ±21 | 92% ±24 | 13h | 1.19% | 1.21% | 212 → 5 | |
| 30D VAH | 82,769.09 (-1.0%) | 1.9 | 0.6% | 3h | 5.7d ago · 36× | 55% ±19 | 44% ±14 | 10% ±9 | 46% ±14 | 47 | 20% ±6 | 55% ±19 | 79% ±27 | 90% ±30 | 18h | 1.52% | 0.91% | 159 → 4 | |
| HVN zone | 81,022.49–81,272.01 (-2.8%) | 5.5 | 2.5% | 22h | 1.6d ago · 98× | 22% ±8 | 55% ±8 | 18% ±6 | 27% ±7 | 149 | 3% ±1 | 22% ±8 | 46% ±17 | 64% ±24 | 3.6d | 1.42% | 0.94% | 623 → 15 | |
| 14D VAL | 81,081.45 (-3.0%) | 5.9 | 2.8% | 22h | 19.8d ago · 56× | 14% ±6 | 43% ±11 | 6% ±6 | 51% ±11 | 74 | 2% ±1 | 14% ±6 | 30% ±13 | 45% ±22 | > 7d | 1.26% | 1.33% | 855 → 20 | |
| 30D POC | 77,217.4 (-7.6%) | 15 | 4.5% | 2.3d | 4.4d ago · 62× | 2% ±3 | 49% ±10 | 11% ±6 | 40% ±10 | 91 | 0% ±0 | 2% ±3 | 10% ±12 | 39% ±29 | > 7d | 1.53% | 0.97% | 460 → 11 | |
| 30D VAL | 74,909.4 (-10.4%) | 21 | <0.1% | 3m | 19.3d ago · 37× | 1% ±2 | 46% ±13 | 8% ±7 | 46% ±13 | 58 | 0% ±0 | 1% ±2 | 6% ±6 | 14% ±14 | > 7d | 1.41% | 1.28% | 984 → 23 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.