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DOGE · 1h · posted 2026-09-30 10:00 UTC
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DOGE · these odds carry no usable signal 4,564 tests, 47% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.6% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0014 of 0.249, 95% 0.0005 to 0.0050), and their calibration slope is 0.22 (95% -0.14 to 0.59) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 0.1034506 (+8.5%) | 8.2 | 0.3% | 1h | 12.4d ago · 55× | 6% ±3 | 44% ±12 | 4% ±5 | 51% ±12 | 67 | 1% ±0 | 6% ±3 | 17% ±9 | 29% ±17 | > 7d | 2.56% | 2.24% | 1141 → 27 | |
| 30D VAH | 0.100408 (+5.3%) | 5.1 | 1.2% | 5h | 7.7d ago · 38× | 19% ±9 | 53% ±15 | 6% ±7 | 40% ±15 | 44 | 2% ±1 | 19% ±9 | 41% ±19 | 56% ±29 | 5.3d | 3.15% | 1.82% | 477 → 11 | |
| 7D VAH · 14D POC | 0.0972464–0.0975037 (+2.0%) | 1.9 | 2.2% | 15h | 2.1d ago · 89× | 50% ±12 | 47% ±9 | 6% ±4 | 47% ±9 | 119 | 16% ±3 | 49% ±11 | 65% ±19 | 75% ±27 | 1.1d | 2.25% | 1.70% | 435 → 10 | |
| at post · 0.09537 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 0.0929398–0.0940462 (-1.4%) | 1.3 | 2.4% | 16h | 1.8d ago · 80× | 71% ±11 | 44% ±9 | 15% ±7 | 42% ±9 | 107 | 42% ±5 | 71% ±11 | 81% ±17 | 88% ±21 | 7h | 2.32% | 2.30% | 365 → 9 | |
| 7D POC | 0.09332365 (-2.1%) | 2.1 | 2.6% | 16h | 1.4d ago · 107× | 67% ±12 | 39% ±7 | 5% ±3 | 56% ±8 | 164 | 24% ±4 | 67% ±12 | 79% ±18 | 86% ±23 | 13h | 1.95% | 1.98% | 358 → 9 | |
| 7D VAL | 0.0923545 (-3.2%) | 3.1 | 1.7% | 10h | 2.9d ago · 107× | 43% ±8 | 51% ±8 | 5% ±4 | 43% ±8 | 145 | 9% ±2 | 43% ±8 | 69% ±13 | 78% ±17 | 1.3d | 2.51% | 1.96% | 916 → 22 | |
| 14D VAL | 0.090727 (-4.9%) | 4.7 | 2.9% | 19h | 2.9d ago · 69× | 24% ±7 | 46% ±10 | 4% ±4 | 50% ±10 | 103 | 3% ±1 | 24% ±7 | 56% ±13 | 70% ±19 | 2.5d | 2.20% | 2.29% | 940 → 22 | |
| 30D POC | 0.0897589 (-5.9%) | 5.7 | 3.9% | 1.1d | 1.3d ago · 51× | 16% ±10 | 31% ±10 | 8% ±6 | 62% ±11 | 75 | 1% ±1 | 16% ±10 | 32% ±22 | 42% ±34 | > 7d | 1.59% | 2.01% | 331 → 8 | |
| 30D VAL | 0.0846418 (-11.2%) | 11 | 3.6% | 1.9d | 19.1d ago · 60× | 5% ±3 | 41% ±11 | 8% ±6 | 51% ±11 | 84 | 0% ±0 | 5% ±3 | 19% ±11 | 34% ±19 | > 7d | 2.74% | 1.92% | 974 → 23 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.