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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-09-30 22:00 UTC
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ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,405 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0036), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.21 to 0.48) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 2,756.59 (+2.6%) | 3.9 | 1.3% | 8h | 1.8d ago · 69× | 31% ±9 | 56% ±10 | 6% ±5 | 38% ±10 | 93 | 7% ±2 | 31% ±9 | 55% ±17 | 74% ±23 | 2.5d | 2.00% | 1.22% | 580 → 14 | |
| 7D VAH | 2,709.76 (+0.9%) | 1.3 | 2.0% | 12h | 1.2d ago · 97× | 64% ±11 | 52% ±9 | 4% ±4 | 44% ±9 | 120 | 38% ±5 | 64% ±11 | 80% ±16 | 91% ±17 | 9h | 2.24% | 1.61% | 446 → 11 | |
| 7D POC | 2,689.44 (+0.1%) | 0.2 | 4.1% | 2.1d | 3.1d ago · 103× | 90% ±7 | 47% ±8 | 8% ±4 | 45% ±8 | 146 | 80% ±4 | 91% ±7 | 94% ±10 | 97% ±11 | 1h | 2.08% | 1.44% | 380 → 9 | |
| at post · 2,685.68 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D POC | 2,679.23 (-0.2%) | 0.4 | 3.8% | 1.4d | 1.4d ago · 84× | 88% ±8 | 47% ±9 | 15% ±6 | 38% ±8 | 126 | 74% ±5 | 88% ±8 | 94% ±11 | 96% ±14 | 1h | 1.86% | 1.56% | 347 → 8 | |
| 7D VAL · 30D VAH | 2,662.24–2,664.19 (-0.8%) | 1.2 | 2.5% | 16h | 4.1d ago · 84× | 68% ±10 | 51% ±9 | 10% ±5 | 39% ±9 | 121 | 45% ±4 | 67% ±10 | 81% ±15 | 87% ±20 | 6h | 2.12% | 1.34% | 473 → 11 | |
| 14D VAL | 2,631.15 (-2.0%) | 3.0 | 1.4% | 13h | 4.3d ago · 58× | 29% ±9 | 48% ±11 | 5% ±5 | 48% ±11 | 77 | 7% ±2 | 28% ±9 | 51% ±17 | 67% ±25 | 2.9d | 2.16% | 1.75% | 587 → 14 | |
| LVN zone | 2,585.46–2,612.55 (-2.7%) | 4.1 | 1.0% | 5h | 13.5d ago · 46× | 30% ±12 | 53% ±13 | 10% ±8 | 37% ±13 | 56 | 5% ±2 | 30% ±12 | 47% ±23 | 52% ±35 | 5.7d | 2.37% | 1.67% | 325 → 8 | |
| HVN zone | 2,445.45–2,517.71 (-6.3%) | 9.3 | 3.3% | 1.2d | 1.8d ago · 84× | 6% ±5 | 47% ±8 | 23% ±7 | 30% ±8 | 134 | 1% ±1 | 6% ±5 | 17% ±14 | 28% ±24 | > 7d | 1.91% | 1.51% | 531 → 13 | |
| 30D POC | 2,506.42 (-6.7%) | 9.9 | 4.9% | 1.5d | 1.4d ago · 72× | 6% ±5 | 54% ±10 | 9% ±6 | 37% ±10 | 95 | 0% ±0 | 6% ±5 | 19% ±13 | 34% ±25 | > 7d | 2.14% | 1.12% | 594 → 14 | |
| 30D VAL | 2,368.67 (-11.8%) | 18 | 0.6% | 2h | 20.2d ago · 30× | 2% ±2 | 54% ±15 | 4% ±6 | 42% ±14 | 45 | 0% ±0 | 2% ±2 | 7% ±7 | 18% ±15 | > 7d | 2.94% | 1.37% | 1053 → 25 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.