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DOGE · 1h · posted 2026-09-30 22:00 UTC
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DOGE · these odds carry no usable signal 4,569 tests, 47% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.5% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0014 of 0.249, 95% 0.0005 to 0.0045), and their calibration slope is 0.21 (95% -0.17 to 0.58) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 0.1015047 (+7.5%) | 6.1 | 0.7% | 3h | 12.8d ago · 55× | 9% ±5 | 44% ±12 | 4% ±5 | 51% ±12 | 67 | 1% ±1 | 9% ±4 | 23% ±11 | 35% ±20 | > 7d | 2.56% | 2.24% | 959 → 23 | |
| 30D VAH | 0.100408 (+6.3%) | 5.2 | 1.4% | 6h | 8.1d ago · 38× | 18% ±8 | 53% ±15 | 6% ±7 | 40% ±15 | 44 | 2% ±1 | 18% ±8 | 40% ±19 | 55% ±28 | 5.6d | 3.15% | 1.82% | 491 → 12 | |
| HVN zone | 0.0973654–0.0979186 (+3.1%) | 2.5 | 2.8% | 19h | 2.5d ago · 103× | 49% ±10 | 55% ±8 | 18% ±6 | 27% ±7 | 160 | 14% ±3 | 49% ±10 | 63% ±17 | 74% ±23 | 1.0d | 2.91% | 1.79% | 575 → 14 | |
| 7D VAH · 14D POC | 0.0971936–0.09772165 (+2.9%) | 2.4 | 2.6% | 17h | 1.4d ago · 90× | 39% ±10 | 47% ±9 | 6% ±4 | 47% ±9 | 119 | 10% ±2 | 39% ±10 | 56% ±17 | 66% ±26 | 1.9d | 2.25% | 1.70% | 558 → 13 | |
| at post · 0.09444 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 0.0932164–0.0943228 (-0.1%) | 0.1 | 2.7% | 18h | 2.2d ago · 80× | 89% ±11 | 44% ±9 | 15% ±7 | 42% ±9 | 107 | 77% ±6 | 89% ±10 | 92% ±15 | 96% ±17 | 1h | 2.32% | 2.30% | 211 → 5 | |
| 7D POC | 0.0939442 (-0.5%) | 0.4 | 3.1% | 23h | 1.3d ago · 107× | 90% ±7 | 39% ±7 | 5% ±3 | 56% ±8 | 164 | 75% ±4 | 90% ±7 | 96% ±8 | 98% ±9 | 1h | 1.95% | 1.98% | 438 → 10 | |
| 7D VAL | 0.0928048 (-1.7%) | 1.4 | 2.6% | 16h | 3.2d ago · 107× | 67% ±9 | 51% ±8 | 5% ±4 | 43% ±8 | 145 | 34% ±4 | 67% ±9 | 84% ±12 | 87% ±17 | 10h | 2.51% | 1.96% | 609 → 15 | |
| 14D VAL | 0.0915905 (-3.0%) | 2.5 | 1.5% | 6h | 3.2d ago · 69× | 49% ±10 | 46% ±10 | 4% ±4 | 50% ±10 | 103 | 14% ±3 | 49% ±10 | 71% ±16 | 81% ±21 | 1.1d | 2.20% | 2.29% | 535 → 13 | |
| 30D POC | 0.0897589 (-5.0%) | 4.1 | 4.5% | 1.3d | 1.2d ago · 51× | 33% ±13 | 31% ±10 | 8% ±6 | 62% ±11 | 75 | 4% ±2 | 32% ±13 | 53% ±24 | 63% ±36 | 2.2d | 1.59% | 2.01% | 289 → 7 | |
| 30D VAL | 0.0849184 (-10.1%) | 8.3 | 3.9% | 1.9d | 19.4d ago · 60× | 9% ±4 | 41% ±11 | 8% ±6 | 51% ±11 | 84 | 1% ±0 | 9% ±4 | 30% ±12 | 45% ±20 | > 7d | 2.74% | 1.92% | 961 → 23 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.